America's divorce rate falls to lowest level since 1970 - bad luck WT

by truthseeker 5 Replies latest jw friends

  • truthseeker
    truthseeker

    The Watchtower is always lamenting "ever increasing levels of divorce" etc, especially when they have WT articles about the family.

    This article presents some refreshing views that not every married couple is getting divorced.

    Perhaps the rate of divorce among Jehovah's Witnesses is the highest since 1970 as it's becoming more and more common to hear about JW spouses breaking up or having affairs.

    U.S. divorce rate falls to lowest level since 1970

    Some suggest more couples are living together long-term without marrying

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18600304/?GT1=9951

    NEW YORK - By the numbers, divorce just isn’t what it used to be.

    Despite the common notion that America remains plagued by a divorce epidemic, the national per capita divorce rate has declined steadily since its peak in 1981 and is now at its lowest level since 1970.

    Yet Americans aren’t necessarily making better choices about their long-term relationships. Even those who study marriage and work to make it more successful can’t decide whether the trend is grounds for celebration or cynicism.

    Some experts say relationships are as unstable as ever — and divorces are down primarily because more couples live together without marrying. Other researchers have documented what they call “the divorce divide,” contending that divorce rates are indeed falling substantively among college-educated couples but not among less-affluent, less-educated couples.

    “Families with two earners with good jobs have seen an improvement in their standard of living, which leads to less tension at home and lower probability of divorce,” said Andrew Cherlin, a professor of public policy at Johns Hopkins University.

    America’s divorce rate began climbing in the late 1960s and skyrocketed during the ’70s and early ’80s, as virtually every state adopted no-fault divorce laws. The rate peaked at 5.3 divorces per 1,000 people in 1981.

    But since then it’s dropped by one-third, to 3.6. That’s the lowest rate since 1970.

    What’s fueling that decline? According to 20 scholars, marriage-promotion experts and divorce lawyers consulted by The Associated Press, a combination of things.

    Waiting longer to marry
    The number of couples who live together without marrying has increased tenfold since 1960; the marriage rate has dropped by nearly 30 percent in past 25 years; and Americans are waiting about five years longer to marry than they did in 1970.

    Adding such factors together, Patrick Fagan of the conservative Heritage Foundation sees a bad situation.

    “Cohabitation is very fragile, and when unmarried parents split, for the child it might as well be a divorce,” Fagan said. “Among those who are marrying there’s increased stability, but overall the children of the nation are getting a rawer and rawer deal from their parents.”

    Other experts, however, are heartened by what they view as the increased determination of many couples to make marriage work. Among them is Bill Chausee of Child and Family Services of New Hampshire, which offers marriage-strengthening programs in a state where divorces dropped more than 25 percent between 2000 and 2005.

    “People don’t see marriage problems as some sort of stigma any more,” said Chausee. “They’re really interested in learning how to stay married; a lot of them are realizing they need more skill.”

    Some states have made concerted efforts to combat divorce with publicly funded marriage education campaigns, although their effectiveness remains in question. In Oklahoma, 100,000 people have attended workshops since a marriage initiative began in 2001, but the latest divorce figures showed no drop, and the campaign’s backers no longer stress their original goal of cutting divorce by one-third by 2010.

    Wayne and Carol Sutton are among the couples who’ve gone to Oklahoma’s marriage workshops; they attended a half-dozen sessions earlier this year in their hometown of Tulsa.

    “This was a way to gain some insight,” said Wayne Sutton, a longtime petroleum engineer whose wife also works in the energy industry. “They tell you to regenerate the closeness you had when you got married.”

    Sutton, 51, and his wife, 46, married in 1995 and have a 9-year-old son.

    “We’re like any marriage,” he said. “We’ve had rocky periods and Cloud Nine periods. ... We decided a long time ago were not going to desert each other; we were going to stay together no matter what.”

    The Bush administration believes such programs have merit — its Healthy Marriage initiative has disbursed more than $200 million nationwide in the past five years. Bill Coffin, the Department of Health and Human Services’ special assistant for marriage education, is convinced the programs are a factor in the declining divorce rate.

    “The word is getting out that marriage doesn’t have to be a crap shoot — it’s not the luck of the draw,” Coffin said. “It’s how you deal with the inevitable conflict and anger in marriage.”

    He subscribes to the theory that better-educated, wealthier couples have better odds of success in marriage.

    Correlation with education
    “What we’re doing is making sure the poor have access to some help and support,” Coffin said. “So many people never heard of marriage education before.”

    One of the researchers whose studies detected the “divorce divide” is University of Maryland sociologist Steve Martin. Comparing marriages from the early 1970s to those of the early ’90s, Martin found that the rate of breakups within 10 years of marriage dropped by one-third among college-educated women while remaining stable among less-educated women.

    “Overall, marriages will become more stable only if the lower two-thirds of the population starts behaving like the top third,” Martin said. “There’s a lot of debate — is that possible? Can marriage training or other programs give all couples the sort of relationship skills that people imagine college graduates have?”

  • truthseeker
    truthseeker

    Even if people are cohabiting or putting off marriage longer, it was nice to see that some believe that their marriage is worth saving.

    How many on this forum have issues with their spouse wanting to leave the marriage because their spouse no longer believes they have the truth?

  • timmycat
    timmycat

    Not as many are marrying but only living together, many stay together because of economics. There could be other factors, but here in oz the divorce rate has tripled the past few years. Any takers for the increase of crime, or other issues, sure there are heaps to grip about.

  • aniron
    aniron

    I read the other day that similar is happening in Britain.

    Marriages have increased and divorce rate has fallen.

  • greendawn
    greendawn

    The dubs are always lamenting about the bad state of the world but it's all cheap propaganda to entice new victims. Teh big world is so insecure so why don't you come and join our loving and secure world?

    If divorce rates are going down it is a good sign but they are still too high with a marriage having a 50/50 chance to succeed or fail.

  • Numinous
    Numinous

    Agree with Greendawn on the "come into our world and you will be secure" song we all heard. I asked an elder's wife out in service once if there were no penalties to divorce in the organization, what is the percentage that would do so. Without a pause she stated 50 percent. I was one of the first, believe it or not, in my congregation to divorce...they made a big deal out of it at first, then as the months went by nobody cared. I asked the question "So the congregation will help me out if he hits his head and I am stuck with medical, apartment rent, utility bills..." Seven months later, an elder casually asked, "So, how's that divorce coming?" No surprise when I told him it happened a long time ago. This tactic can also work with the "quit your job and pioneer" question that comes up. My prediction: In 20 years everyone will have figured out that God doesn't care about the marriage license records at the local courthouse.

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