Some Speculative Investments

by metatron 6 Replies latest jw friends

  • metatron
    metatron

    I have found stock analysis to be an interesting ------ and profitable----- hobby. In addition, I think that

    the task of weighing ambiguities tests a person's ability to know the truth in this world. Should you

    believe what a crazy blogger says about a stock - or trust in its own published corporate reports?

    The answer can be surprizing, sometimes.

    Anyhow, these are some speculative stocks I'm looking at:

    LUM - this gem may have fallen down in the flight away from subprime lending. Their default rate

    is stunningly low, in spite of the housing market.... and they pay a 14% dividend.

    ABAT.OB - normally a cheap OB stock like this wouldn't be worth a dime but ABAT is odd. It's

    run by Mr Fu in China, who may aspire to be the world king of lithium polymer batteries. It's growing

    and profitable and has already run up 200%. The push for electric/hybrid cars will intensify - China

    included.

    TKF - very volatile and a possible swing play if it dips low enough. Turkey has a future, I think

    if it can avoid radical Islam and war with a future Kurdistan. The next ( warning: conspiracy

    alert!) Bilderberg meeting will be held there - which tells you that the world ruling class wants

    to favor Turkey.

    IIT - an Indonesian phone company. A big future of growth, if they can keep inflation under control.

    Take a look at the 1 yr chart on this one: it is nearly linear.

    I don't own all of these but I watch them for entry points. Another odd point Not Widely Known

    about the US stock market ? Currently, there is a wave of mergers and private buyouts coupled

    with companies pulling out and going to foreign exchanges. This can have the effect of pushing

    stock prices up because institutions committed to US markets have less stock to choose from!

    It's interesting stuff. Why spend your life judging complex trivialities about history or religion

    when you could apply that critical ability to finding profit?

    Do your own diligence, as always.

    metatron

  • Paralipomenon
    Paralipomenon

    I love the herd mentality. When bad news comes out some major players will dump their stocks. This creates unrest in the stock and others follow suit to avoid losing everything. The stock dips a few percentage points and the original players buy more back at a cheaper price. Those that followed the hysteria ended up selling low and potentially buying back high.

    Depends on the news really if it's wise to sell your stock. But for most blue chip stocks, bad news is usually a blip on the radar and within a few days or weeks they're back to normal.

    I'm one of the few people in the world that loves bad news.

  • metatron
    metatron

    I encourage everybody to post their picks. We 'apostates' should profit from our mighty wisdom!

    metatron

  • Warlock
    Warlock

    Since I'm very short term, I don't have any picks. Sorry.

    Warlock

  • garybuss
    garybuss

    Yup! In investments 101, the first thing we teach is to identify your assumptions and assign each and every assumption weight and value.

  • metatron
    metatron

    I've just started trying to use the 'Kelly Criterion' in my investing ( AKA Fortune's Formula)

    metatron

  • Paralipomenon
    Paralipomenon

    I honestly haven't read much about investing other than what I needed to trade.

    My current formula is to take half of my volatile portfolio at the end of the year and convert half of it to stable investments. Each year my starting volatile budget gets a bit larger yielding a higher return.

    I'm assured to never lose my shirt, but I'll likely never "strike it big". I'm not interested in winning a lottery, I would just like to retire happy and comfortably.

Share this

Google+
Pinterest
Reddit