Hi Syn,
I don't disagree that the Watchtower won't be destroyed quickly, but I honestly believe it has reached its zenith and now it's all down hill.
Taking my old congregation as an example, the KH was recently sold and now the congregation is about to share in a quick-build with a neighbouring congregation. Afterwards, these two congregations will share the hall. OK, nothing unusual about that, but it means my area no longer has a KH and the Dubs have to travel a lot further to get there (this didn't go down well and numbers have already decreased). At the other end of the territory another congregation closed down and it, too, is now sharing. This means that there is no longer a single congregation between 5-6 towns.
My old congregation is full of oldies, the younger generation doesn't want to know. The congregation it is sharing the hall with has had numerous problems over the past few years, with many disfellowshippings and elders being removed. So much so, that elders from my old congregation (all over 50 and with three over 60) were sent in to help out and even one of them was eventually removed and another stepped down (his son was disfellowshipped). It is also evident that of the elders appointed in my old congregation over the past 5-6 years all are married but without children - and they don't want any! One has a wife who hasn't attended meetings for years.
If this scenario is indicative of what is happening in general (??) (especially in western Europe and North America) the Watchtower will be left with a few die-hard older people and very, very few younger ones. The internet has helped younger ones, especially, see the folly of the Org.
The Watchtower might still remain, but it will have to change radically and, eventually, it will become just another tiny religion not too different from main-stream. The bad press it is continually receiving and with over 200 court cases to be considered is causing the exit of even previously staunch supporters.
Through chatting with other exJWs, I'm convinced the Borg is trying to reduce the damage caused by disfellowshipping and is moving on to a straight shunning policy (and in my case they can't even get this right, some speaking and others high-tailing it), with DFing being used only in "serious" cases such as adultery.
The next few years should be very interesting indeed.
Dansk