Razziel

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Posts by Razziel

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  89

  +$4.00 Gasoline. How does it change the Energy game

  by designs in

  1. social
  2. current

  will it put pressure on politicians to approve the keystone pipeline.. should the nation's refineries stop selling as much gasoline as exports.. how does +$4.00 gasoline affect your monthly budget, how do you adjust..

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  Razziel

  Edit: I fixed a screwup.

  Oh, so let's say you do that every day. How long is the payoff.

  Year 1 $5,000/365 = $13.7/gallon

  Year 2 $5,000/730 = $6.8/gallon

  Year 3 $5,000/1095 = $4.5/gallon

  Year 4 $5,000/1460 = $3.4/gallon

  Year 5 $5,000/1825 = $2.7/gallon

  Year 6 $5,000/2190 = $2.2/gallon

  Year 7 $5,000/2555 = $1.9/gallon

  Year 8 $5,000/2920 = $1.7/gallon

  Year 9 $5,000/3285 = $1.5/gallon

  Year 10 $5,000/3650 = $1.36/gallon

  Got to today's gas prices in my area by year 4. That's actually not that bad of a break-even time.
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  89

  +$4.00 Gasoline. How does it change the Energy game

  by designs in

  1. social
  2. current

  will it put pressure on politicians to approve the keystone pipeline.. should the nation's refineries stop selling as much gasoline as exports.. how does +$4.00 gasoline affect your monthly budget, how do you adjust..

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  Razziel

  1400 watts per square meter with no atmosphere
  
  1000 watts per square meter with atmosphere and no clouds
  
  1 square meter = 10.76 square feet
  
  1000/10.76 = 93 watts per square foot maximum
  
  According to the article BTS posted, in Arizona, in July, it’s about 240 watts per square meter per 24 hrs.
  
  240/10.76 = 22.3 watts per square foot
  
  Let’s be optimistic and say in a few years our solar panels will hit around the maximum theoretical conversion rate at 85%
  
  22.3*.85 = 18.95 watts per foot per day
  
  Multiply by 24 since the article said it was averaged over the entire 24 hr period
  
  18.95*24 = 455 watt-hrs per day
  
  33,700 watt hours in a gallon of gasoline is the rating the EPA uses.
  
  33,700/455 = 74 square feet.
  
  Right now, I think most panels are more towards 25% conversion rate.
  
  33,700/(22.3*.25*24) = 251 square feet. That seems about right.
  
  14 or 15 of the 3 X 6 panels should do it. And the panels would probably cost in the neighborhood of $5,000. And of course, that’s Arizona, in July. Might take a few more panels for the rest of us. And that’s only 1 gallon equivalent, so your commute would need to be very short each day.
• 
  89

  +$4.00 Gasoline. How does it change the Energy game

  by designs in

  1. social
  2. current

  will it put pressure on politicians to approve the keystone pipeline.. should the nation's refineries stop selling as much gasoline as exports.. how does +$4.00 gasoline affect your monthly budget, how do you adjust..

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  Razziel

  Higher energy prices suck for the consumer in the short term. But they are actually GOOD for the US in the mid-long term. Entering the oil/gas industry last year, one thing I've discovered is the whole peak oil thing is misleading. "Recoverable" oil reserves typically mean what is economically recoverable. There is a tremendous amound of liquid petroleum that wasn't economically recoverable at $2.00/gallon, but is at $4.00/gallon. I read an article the last couple of days (think it was on Yahoo) that mentioned that US oil production was to peak in the early 2020's, but we surpassed that peak this year. Now it's expected our peak will be much higher, and we may be oil independent in the next 15-20 years based on increased oil production.

  There is no lack of oil, or other fossil fuels. There is enough to sustain our projected energy needs for hundreds and even thousands of years. But drilling wells can cost 15-20 million dollars and then hundreds of thousands of dollars in remedial work per year. So whether it is economically viable depends on the price of oil.

  We will never run out of oil, coal, or natural gas in the forseeable future. Just as the predictions in the 1950's that we would run out shortly were wrong, so are any predictions now. At some point, green energy will be cheaper to produce, and companies will pursue that instead. The higher the prices go, the greener our energy will get, as that technology becomes economically profitable.

  So if you're an environmentalist, be thankful for higher oil prices!
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  9

  Anyone else suffer from sleep paralysis?

  by Razziel in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  oldflame's post got me thinking about it.

  i've never asked other people about how common it is, but it's pretty scary.. basically your body is asleep and paralyzed, but your mind is awake.

  sometimes you get a feeling of dread, othertimes of euphoria.

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  Razziel

  And yeah, as I said in Oldflame's post, I originally thought it was demons too.
• 
  9

  Anyone else suffer from sleep paralysis?

  by Razziel in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  oldflame's post got me thinking about it.

  i've never asked other people about how common it is, but it's pretty scary.. basically your body is asleep and paralyzed, but your mind is awake.

  sometimes you get a feeling of dread, othertimes of euphoria.

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  Razziel

  I did notice this virtually always happens when I sleep on my back. I've started going to sleep on my side or stomach and don't experience this as much. When I do have it, it's when I've rolled back onto my back during the night. I've wondered if it's an issue with bloodflow to the brain, but I don't know. All I know is it is terrifying when it happens.
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  9

  Anyone else suffer from sleep paralysis?

  by Razziel in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  oldflame's post got me thinking about it.

  i've never asked other people about how common it is, but it's pretty scary.. basically your body is asleep and paralyzed, but your mind is awake.

  sometimes you get a feeling of dread, othertimes of euphoria.

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  Razziel

  What really makes it scary is that even if you can't control your eyes, if your eyelids are slightly open you can see the room, and see the hallucinations. Makes it seem so real.
• 
  9

  Anyone else suffer from sleep paralysis?

  by Razziel in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  oldflame's post got me thinking about it.

  i've never asked other people about how common it is, but it's pretty scary.. basically your body is asleep and paralyzed, but your mind is awake.

  sometimes you get a feeling of dread, othertimes of euphoria.

  1. 
  2. 
  3. 
• 

  Razziel

  Oldflame's post got me thinking about it. I've never asked other people about how common it is, but it's pretty scary.

  Basically your body is asleep and paralyzed, but your mind is awake. Sometimes you get a feeling of dread, othertimes of euphoria. Sometimes you hallucinate, and there are people or horrible creatures in the bedroom with you, and you can have conversations with them. I almost always get a loud buzzing sensation in my ears/neck that occurs right before my mind "wakes" up with me paralyzed.

  From Wikipedia: Many perceptions associated with sleep paralysis (visceral buzzing, loud sounds, excited mental state, [ 22 ] presences, and the paralysis itself) also constitute a common phase in the early progression of episodes referred to as out of body experiences. [ 23 ] Mental focus varies between the two conditions; paralysis sufferers tend to fixate on reestablishing operation of the body, whereas subjects of out-of-body episodes are more occupied by perceived non-equivalence with the body.

  I am one of the ones that fixated on reestablishing control of my body, even when I had terrible visions of supernatural creatures, and early on I found out even though I couldn't move myself, I could control my breathing. So I started breathing as fast I could, and within a couple of minutes, my body woke up from the increased oxygen.

  Anybody else ever suffer from this?
• 
  49

  Died and came back with memories !

  by oldflame in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  friends,.

  i have a story to share with you and i hope that it does not bore you as it did just the opposite for me .

  after hearing what i was told i was so pumped up with holy spirit i thought i was going to crawl right out of my own skin .

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  Razziel

  This is actually a fear I have, and reminds me of an episode of Tales From the Crypt. Not all people lose consciousness immediately after they are "dead". I believe there are some examples such as the French Revolution, of people getting their head chopped off and still responding to people calling their name for a couple of minutes. Physiology is different in everyone, and I fear many people may go on to experience some form of consciousness and physical pain many hours after they have "died", even if in some hallucigenic state.

  Personally, I occasionally have problems with sleep paralysis. My mind is aware, but my body is paralyzed in the normal sleep cycle. This is a scary phenomenon. Hallucinations happen frequently. People are in my bedroom who aren't really there. Sometimes they talk to me. I almost always get a feeling of either dread or euphoria. But it's not real. When I was a JW I thought it was demons attacking me. Now I know better. Thankfully I discovered a trick to get myself out of that state very quickly and cause my body to wake up.
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  140

  Do You Believe Abortion Is Wrong? Should It Be Against The Law?

  by minimus in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  what say you?.

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  Razziel

  The answers are all scientifically available, it all depends on how you frame the question as to if you get the answer you want to hear. If it is simply living cells, then every person alive forms an unbroken chain back to the first replicating cell. If it's the point where two seperate DNA meet and combine to form another, you get another answer. If you define it in terms of a stage that "has" to happen to work, such as implantation, you get another answer. If it's where the clump of cells can respond to external stimulii, you get a different answer. If it's when that clump of cells begins to develop features we recognize you get another answer. If it's when memories begin to form you get another answer. If it's when it can survive outside the womb, it's another answer that changes depending on current technology. It all depends on how you frame the question. And how you frame the question depends on what your bias is.
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  140

  Do You Believe Abortion Is Wrong? Should It Be Against The Law?

  by minimus in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  what say you?.

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  Razziel

  By this logic, you aren't really dead until several days after your hearts stops and you stop breathing, since many of our cells live on for a good while after that happens. That's just plain dumb. Think about some of your arguments.