Notty What are the odds they coincidentally get new light from Jehovah and lighten up their shunning policy ?
I agree they're going to have to get around it when it comes to minors, because that's the issue that caught the Norwegian govts attention.
With adults it may have been harder to argue around the whole freedom of belief thing in court.
However they are in a tight spot, because on the one hand the easy, most straightforward solution is to stop minors being baptised in the first place. That way there's no disfellowshipping/shunning of minors without the need to make major doctrinal changes.
But getting kids baptised and locked in through fear of loosing everybody, and everything, they've ever known is just about the only way they get new members. The risk in waiting until the kids of JWs are 18 to get baptised is that it leaves them enough time & maturity to start researching and/or thinking for themselves. The risk they become independent enough - emotionally & financially - to say 'no' to parental demands to join the religion.