It's not even speculation or opinion at this point. Lloyd's video on Tony's leaked talk sits at 13K views; JW Thoughts has 40K views. Lloyd's videos about the convention are from 3K to 6K views. JW Thoughts, from 8.5K to 20K.
ExJW Critical Thinker videos hit 14K, 20K, 40K and more. Most of Lloyd's numbers are below 5K. They also posted yesterday about the 5 JWs indicted in Pennsylvania and hit over 8K views in 20 hours. Lloyd has some stale "sushi" (again, WTF are sushi videos) about the convention, just a couple thousand views each.
What's funny is that he shot himself in the foot at the worst possible time. Everything from the ARC onward has been exposing the cult for what it is and momentum kept growing. One story after another... CSA, selling properties for a billion while begging for money, articles about abused women staying with abusers, etc. Then Covid hit and more people were like "why the fuck should I go back to those stupid meetings" and they started turning to the internet more than ever. That's right when his nasty business got exposed.
Couldn't happen to a nicer guy.