I read that Trump got 3 million fewer votes than he did in 2020, and that Harris got 15 million fewer votes than Biden did in 2020. I don't think Biden voters were switching to Trump as much as Biden voters preferred to stay home instead of vote for Harris.
TonusOH
JoinedPosts by TonusOH
-
121
PRESIDENTIAL predictions...let the prognosticators have their say!
by Terry inmy only prowess in making predictions stems from my 77-years of life in the united statesgrowing up under president truman, eisenhower, kennedy, nixon, .....etc.
etc.i was a widdle kid sitting in front of a tiny black and white tv set when the very first broadcastsof political conventions, deal-making, debates (nixon vs kennedy), assassinations (jfk, rfk, martin luther king, etc.
) i grew up with duck and cover under my elementary schooldesk, the cold war, the iron curtain, the korean war, the vietnam war and i went to federal prisonas a jw conscientious objector while hippies, flower children, political activists protested and universitystudents were fired up on by troops.i grew up reading newspapers (2 of them).
-
-
-
121
PRESIDENTIAL predictions...let the prognosticators have their say!
by Terry inmy only prowess in making predictions stems from my 77-years of life in the united statesgrowing up under president truman, eisenhower, kennedy, nixon, .....etc.
etc.i was a widdle kid sitting in front of a tiny black and white tv set when the very first broadcastsof political conventions, deal-making, debates (nixon vs kennedy), assassinations (jfk, rfk, martin luther king, etc.
) i grew up with duck and cover under my elementary schooldesk, the cold war, the iron curtain, the korean war, the vietnam war and i went to federal prisonas a jw conscientious objector while hippies, flower children, political activists protested and universitystudents were fired up on by troops.i grew up reading newspapers (2 of them).
-
-
TonusOH
Some months back, I had expressed the belief that the reason the DNC pushed Biden for a second term was that they weren't sure how to deal with Harris, should she decide she wanted to be the candidate. If they tried to get her to step aside and she resisted, it would have looked bad for the party to try to sideline a female POC. But she did not impress as a VP (which is a truly low bar in US politics) and anyone could see that she wasn't up to the task.
But Biden's debate performance couldn't be ignored and he was finally made to end his campaign. The only option was Harris. Someone who lacks the ability to express confidence smoothly and who struggles to control any situation she is in. This, plus her frequent troubles expressing herself clearly, is a bad combination for a political campaign. I wasn't ready to write her off because Trump always seems to be walking a tightrope. But, just like 2016, polls could not figure him out.
Pollsters will weep with relief once he exits the political scene. Assuming they don't go extinct, first.
-
39
Why do most Ex jW W‘s seem to be liberal?
by JaredScott-1977 ini’m just curious about this dynamic i don’t care personally one way or the other but i do have friends who have chosen to be conservatives and they get totally destroyed on social media pages for their choice.
it’s almost like a lot of ex jw w become as toxic and his judgmental as jehovah’s witnesses themselves what’s up with that?
i also know conservative ex jw’s that can do the same so again i’m not leaning one way or the other i’m just noticing factual observations.
-
-
TonusOH
I think one reason they do not align with the political right (at least in the USA) is because the political right is often closely aligned with 'Christendom.'
I'm not sure if that's entirely true (the alternative would not be very attractive to them either), but one reason my mother is so adamantly opposed to the GOP is because they are aligned with the religious right and because they support Israel (whose existence is tied in with some end-times beliefs of other religions).
-
75
WATCHTOWER JAN 2025: WHY IS THE WATCHTOWER OBSESSED WITH THE RANSOM?
by raymond frantz inhttps://youtu.be/ocufvpm3t04?si=75zmussxknhlsrs7.
the first watchtower for 2025 is out, and immediately, articles 4 and 5 drew my attention.
these will be studied near the memorial season, a time the witnesses prepare for their yearly commemoration of jesus’ death, i will be returning on this articles near at the time.
-
-
TonusOH
That means that free will can be modified -to coin a term- to have a limited effect. In other words, I could have the freedom to love, to choose to follow/deny God, and so on, while still having full mastery over sin. This, I think, is the ideal. With one exception, I would be free to live and love without risking eternal damnation.
It wouldn't be perfect, but it would almost be sensible enough for me to believe that it was the design of a god.
-
75
WATCHTOWER JAN 2025: WHY IS THE WATCHTOWER OBSESSED WITH THE RANSOM?
by raymond frantz inhttps://youtu.be/ocufvpm3t04?si=75zmussxknhlsrs7.
the first watchtower for 2025 is out, and immediately, articles 4 and 5 drew my attention.
these will be studied near the memorial season, a time the witnesses prepare for their yearly commemoration of jesus’ death, i will be returning on this articles near at the time.
-
-
TonusOH
Sea Breeze: But, my point is how can a person receive love from someone else without it being offered out of their own free-will? It would be meaningless, common, of no special value..... and received as such.
You seem to be saying that the concept of free will is just a description of our ability to make any decision. Is that what free will is? If so, it opens up a whole different can of worms. For starters, how can we ever be free of sin if that is what free will is? And, now that I think of it, why compel us with a sinful nature if we are supposed to have free will? The concept gets more and more convoluted the deeper we dive into it.
If free will only refers to being given the choice to freely accept or reject God, that would not affect my ability to offer love willingly to another person.
But this just reinforces my point: if my only options are to have free will with all of its attendant consequences, or be an unwilling automaton in a universe where no one ever suffered, how is the former the better option? And how is an all-powerful and all-knowing being incapable of coming up with an option where everyone is free to make choices without the endless suffering that the Biblical god has visited on us?
-
2912
It's been a long 9 years Lloyd Evans / John Cedars (continued)
by Simon inuh oh, looks like the mega thread gave up the ghost, so while i investigate / fix it just continue the discussion here .... it's been a long 9 years lloyd evans / john cedars.
-
-
TonusOH
It's no surprise that he hates Trump. It must be like looking in a mirror.
-
121
PRESIDENTIAL predictions...let the prognosticators have their say!
by Terry inmy only prowess in making predictions stems from my 77-years of life in the united statesgrowing up under president truman, eisenhower, kennedy, nixon, .....etc.
etc.i was a widdle kid sitting in front of a tiny black and white tv set when the very first broadcastsof political conventions, deal-making, debates (nixon vs kennedy), assassinations (jfk, rfk, martin luther king, etc.
) i grew up with duck and cover under my elementary schooldesk, the cold war, the iron curtain, the korean war, the vietnam war and i went to federal prisonas a jw conscientious objector while hippies, flower children, political activists protested and universitystudents were fired up on by troops.i grew up reading newspapers (2 of them).
-
-
TonusOH
Jan: So does anyone want to predict how long Trump will last before Vance finds a way to take over ?
There are probably a number of people here (in the US) expressing the same concern. Every four years, half of the country expresses hope and the other half expresses despair. Four years later, we will somehow have managed to avert the END OF DEMOCRACY AS WE KNOW IT.
If Republicans secure a majority in both houses of Congress, the left will really lose its collective head, even though our history tends to show that a President whose party has control of Congress often gets less done than he would if Congress were in their opponent's hands. And many Republicans despise Trump as much as Democrats do.
Which is to say that we'll be fine. It will be a clown show, for sure; that can't be helped with Trump at the helm. But he'll do better than his detractors think, and worse than his supporters hope. That's just how it goes. Personally, I'm glad that the election results look like they will be clear enough that we can spare ourselves six months of court challenges and recounts. We can jump right into protests and contentious media confrontations from day 1.
-
39
Why do most Ex jW W‘s seem to be liberal?
by JaredScott-1977 ini’m just curious about this dynamic i don’t care personally one way or the other but i do have friends who have chosen to be conservatives and they get totally destroyed on social media pages for their choice.
it’s almost like a lot of ex jw w become as toxic and his judgmental as jehovah’s witnesses themselves what’s up with that?
i also know conservative ex jw’s that can do the same so again i’m not leaning one way or the other i’m just noticing factual observations.
-
-
TonusOH
There are reasons for exJWs to lean in either direction.
The religion is a deeply literalist fundamentalist one. So it is no surprise if exJWs are very right-leaning. At the same time, some exJWs may reject the religion so completely that it also helps shape their political views, which might have them lean left.
Another issue is that the WTS discourages advanced education and career paths. Many JWs are dependent on government aid and subsidies, which are often championed by the left. A JW may take offense at many liberal views on sex and science, but they find that liberals are more inclined to offer the social services that many JWs depend on.
If you are a JW long enough, I think you're more likely to take a hardcore political stance. It is a very all or nothing approach to how we view the world. That particular concept is what I rejected in order to eventually fade.
-
66
Trump wins
by gavindlt ini am non political and have never voted but nonetheless i have been keenly watching to see how the trump presidential race unfolds.
i believe that his involvement in propelling or influencing a leaning toward bible prophecy will unfold.
how, i can’t say but something tells me that this anomaly and outlier being trump is highly signifiant!
-
-
TonusOH
I'm just glad that it was clear enough so that we do not spend the next six months in court battles.
Not that we will have a peaceful (or even sane) four years. The show has only begun.
-
75
WATCHTOWER JAN 2025: WHY IS THE WATCHTOWER OBSESSED WITH THE RANSOM?
by raymond frantz inhttps://youtu.be/ocufvpm3t04?si=75zmussxknhlsrs7.
the first watchtower for 2025 is out, and immediately, articles 4 and 5 drew my attention.
these will be studied near the memorial season, a time the witnesses prepare for their yearly commemoration of jesus’ death, i will be returning on this articles near at the time.
-
-
TonusOH
I don't think we would be compelled to love if we could not sin. I think it would be very difficult to justify hate if we could not sin. Having fewer excuses to hate seems like another benefit.
Christians also believe that we cannot avoid sinning. Doesn't that mean that we are programmed to do so? Given the choice of not being able to sin versus not being able to stop myself from sinning, I can't see a reason to want the latter. Especially when we consider the potential consequences. I can't see myself doing something like that to another person; it would seem manipulative and extremely cruel.