Source please?
In May 2008, Uwe Beckmeyer, transport chief for Germany's Social Democrats, said a recent 25 percent rise in the price of oil to $135 a barrel had nothing to do with underlying supply and demand; "It's pure speculation," he said.[Germany in call for ban on oil speculation", The Daily Telegraph . 2008-06-07 .
Also in May 2008, The Economist pointed out that "The number of transactions involving oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the biggest market for oil, has almost tripled since 2004. That neatly mirrors a tripling of the price of oil over the same period."[Double, double, oil and trouble", The Economist (2008-05-29) . 2008-06-17.
Also in May 2008, hedge fund manager Michael Masters testified to a U.S. Senate committee about his belief that "What we are experiencing is a demand shock coming from a new category of participant in the commodities futures markets: Institutional Investors... In the popular press the explanation given most often for rising oil prices is the increased demand for oil from China. According to the DOE, annual Chinese demand for petroleum has increased over the last five years from 1.88 billion barrels to 2.8 billion barrels, an increase of 920 million barrels. Over the same five-year period, Index Speculators' demand for petroleum futures has increased by 848 million barrels. The increase in demand from Index Speculators is almost equal to the increase in demand from China!"Michael Masters Written Testimony", United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs . 2008-05-28 .
In June 2008, The Wall Street Journal wrote: "Lehman Brothers cites evidence that institutional investors, including sovereign-wealth funds, have been increasing their exposure to commodities. The investment house calculates that from January 2006 to mid-April 2008, more than $90 billion of incremental investor flows was devoted to assets under management by commodity indexes. It said for every $100 million in new inflows, the price of West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, increased by 1.6%."Is Oil the Next 'Bubble' to Pop?", Wall Street Journal (2008-06-04) .
Also in June 2008, analyst Theodore Butler wrote that the rise in prices since the credit crunch began in August 2007 was primarily due to short sellers buying back futures contracts so as to minimize their losses. "The index funds are holding the same size, or smaller, long position in crude oil than they held 10 months ago, when crude oil was $70/barrel... The buying back of previously sold short futures contracts, primarily in the commercial category, account for the bulk of the buying over the past eight months or so.""The Real Speculators" (2008-06-10) . Also in June 2008, OPEC's Secretary General Abdullah al-Badri provided statistics supporting rampant speculation in the oil-related financial markets. According to Badri, current world consumption of oil at 87 million bpd is far exceeded by the "paper market" for oil, which equals about 1.36 billion bpd, or more than 15 times the actual market demand.OPEC chief appeals for calm over oil", Reuters (2008-06-10) .
On June 17, 2008, Iranian OPEC governor Mohammad-Ali Khatibi described the oil market as saturated and warned that an increase in production from Saudi Arabia would be "wrong". Refiners stated that it is Saudi Arabia's traditionally high prices which make its crude noncompetitive. Prior to this, OPEC had stated that the oil market was well supplied and that high prices were a result of speculation and a weak U.S. dollar. Riyadh's crude output decision, wrongPresstv.ir
I am not saying that there is no concern over supply as logic tells you that we are using an energy source that has a finite supply and yes, China and India's growth is having an effect, but that does not explain the cost of a barrel of oil increasing almost 4 fold in just 18 months. I have money invested in oil stocks and while I am happy with that portion of my investment portfolio, I have to admit it's way out of proportion to reality..