"So as long as you're repentant, it doesn't matter"
Not true either. Yes....if you kiss the asses of the elders on the JC.....you may very well live to fight another day. But if one or two of them have a vendetta against you.....regardless of how repentant you are.....it could be all over.
Here is a true example. Elder Joe is the ministry school overseer. Swell guy. Just got done giving me an earful for lack of participation in meetings and no service time. 10 days later Elder Joe is disfellowshipped for adultery. Now.....Elder Joe is a sincerely good person. Elder Joe was having an affair and realized how wrong he was. He confessed. He was front row and center with tears in his eyes when the announcement that he was disfellowshipped was made. Any man that is front row and center for such an announcement had to have been repentant in his JC. Yet supposedly only "unrepentant" wrongdoers get the boot? Are you telling me that this man looked the elders in the eye and said that he is NOT remorseful.....and then showed up with tears in his eyes for the announcement of his own disfellowshipping just days later?
And consider this. Yet another true story. I was once dating a presiding overseer's daughter. (well....not really. We were both 17. We "liked" each other but weren't allowed to date of course). She told me about a problem that her dad was having with another elder. (yes....her dad blabbed secretive elder stuff to her) My girlfriend's older sister was having a jucicial committee meeting for "immoral activities". The other elder (who was on the sister's JC) approached him and attempted to make him an offer he couldn't refuse. He said "I'll go easy on your daughter if you do the same for my kids if they ever get in trouble".
Wrong verdicts are made. Vendettas are carried out. "Deals" are made. It happens. Certainly not all the time but it happens