As with any judicial committee, things can be random, depending on the unqualified idiots serving as "elders". If he's already been denied twice, it looks to me like it's not going to come easily. And if he does get reinstated there, they'll take forever to let him start commenting, handling microphones, etc. It's hard to tell whether the problem is the brothers at bethel or at the local congregation. If it's the local congregation, he could try moving and starting all over. What a waste of time for him.