I’ve considered what you’ve had to say, too. And, not that it matters, but I’ve bothered myself to respond exhaustively to your complaints. At this point I’m left wondering if you’re attempt is no more than trying to waste my time. You’ve ignored substance at every turn. So be it. Readers will make of this discussion what they will, which is as it should be.
The frustrating aspect for me is that you have proceeded with your research project making "allowances" for assumptions whereas you should not have proceeded with any kind of extrapolatory analysis in the first place because it violates sound research design and methodology.
But do not take my word for it. Submit your project to a peer-reviewable publication and see what happens.
I have continued throughout this thread to describe your approach as "naive" and your continued use of the phrase "conservative" approach reveals that rather than recognizing you cannot use the New Zealand study to extrapolate to worldwide estimates, you have proceeded anyway.
I am in two minds about your thinking on this matter. Unlike Adam, I do not think you are willfully ignoring the points we raise; rather, you are just not getting them. I'm prepared to acknowledge this may be due in part to my way of writing. However, I suspect it is also most likely due to your not knowing the basics of sound research design and methodology. If you have done any undergraduate or postgraduate work in research design and use of statistics, you would perhaps have a better grasp of the points we have endeavored to make. No undegraduate course on statistics and research design would accept what you have done, let alone a post-graduate one. As I may have said earlier, I have postgraduate qualifications in those two areas - requirements of my PhD research.
You can accuse me of many things Marvin, but taking the time and effort to respond to your posts is in no way an attempt to waste your time. However, I sense that perhaps my readiness to continue responding to your posts has decreased of late. I am happy to leave the last word to you - and wish you all the best.