Ruby456: ajwrb - I'm pretty certain that percentages of chance and probability do not work like that and there is something wrong with your calculations. even one death is horrendous but you need to get your figures right. I do apologise if I have got this wrong
My first reaction, and what is confusing, is that it seems lower than previous posts here addressing this tragedy
https://www.jehovahs-witness.com/topic/222442/more-50-000-dead