Craig.....I'll have to disagree with you about the average dub today believing whether it's the truth or not. My take on it is that they believe it's the truth, they just have a hard time understanding the reasoning behind these truths and following all advise given by the slave regarding these truths.
Most dubs really believe the Organisation has nailed biblical truths correctly such as no hellfire, immortality of the soul, or trinity. They also believe that celebrations did indeed have a pagan backround. They believe living a morally clean lifestyle is the best route and they believe politics and religion should not be mixed in the same bowl.
It seems the problem they have is really believing many of these things they aren't supposed to believe in.......really brings harm to people and not some good.
As an example.......a witness mother and daughter having lunch together and at the table next to them, a little girl is getting happy birthday sung to her by the resteraunt staff. Both the witness mother and daughter realise there seems to be no problem resulting from this little celebration and that this little girl is happy and so is the mom . They both see that birthdays bring no harm and seems like only lots of harmless fun.....yet they believe and have been taught this is pagan. Part of them believes it's truly a pagan celebration, yet a part of them doesn't see any harm or bad results in those that participate in them.
Gumby