a month ago it might have been questionable.
not now.
after bader’s death and biden’s inability, this shouldn’t be close.
Here's a couple articles I thought were interesting:
One last look: 2016 polls actually got a lot right - The Hill 1/19/17
It Wasn't the Polls That Missed, It Was the Pundits - Realclearpolitics 11/12/16
538 has a couple articles bit I didn't re-search for them
a month ago it might have been questionable.
not now.
after bader’s death and biden’s inability, this shouldn’t be close.
Probability of winning isn't a poll - it's an opinion based on information. The information can be accurate and opinion can be waaaay off.
The actual polls, on average, weren't that far off from correct. Although I'm sure there were some poorly conducted polls that were outliers on either side.
What's good is that a simple checking of polling averages in the swingstates and nationally in 2016 along with the actual vote counts clears this up pretty quickly
as of october 2020, if you were governor or president how would you handle this pandemic?
?.
Catch-22
If the vaccine cooked out now or recommendations change - tons of people will say Trump/GOO are lying and disbelieve
If vaccine or recommendations come out after election or inauguration - tons of people will say Democrats/MSM are lying and disbelieve.
a month ago it might have been questionable.
not now.
after bader’s death and biden’s inability, this shouldn’t be close.
The polls show biden much farther ahead than clinton ever was in several swingstates. I just saw a Fox news poll that showed this today and a Rasmussen poll from like yesterday or so that showed this too.
I think that Trump is in very real trouble and that moderates and undecided (if there are any) aren't breaking his way.
The 2016 polls were actually pretty accurate by my recollection. Nationally they showed clinton ahead and they turned out right. State wise they showed the race within the margin of error and again they were right.
as of october 2020, if you were governor or president how would you handle this pandemic?
?.
Freedom cuts both ways
Not possible to get herd immunity because too many people just simply won't go out. And you can't make them due to freedom.
is this just a coincidence?
is trump a “super spreader”?
is this a republican payback?
...or wait, maybe it's 'pride before a fall' or something like that...
is this just a coincidence?
is trump a “super spreader”?
is this a republican payback?
...time and unforseen occurrence befall us all... So says my old witness training
In my household of dubs who tend to lean Trump (secretly of course because they're neutral!) it was decided the debate went to Biden; and they weren't happy.
I felt that Trump's attitude won't help him with undecided voters and moderates but Biden may have lost Bernie followers.
In the end it probably won't change the polling we've seen to date.
I was hoping Trump would lay out more of his plan for the country.
I think Biden may lose his temper and say something weird or off the wall. Trump will just look at him like WTF dude! Or Trump will spill a glass of water on himself as he tries to drink with one hand.
Hillary - glad she's not president! That's for sure. But, based on my HS debate experience she did have a stronger performance than Trump most of the time. But, he didn't do as poorly as many seem to think. Just my two cents.
