Hi both Check_ and Cheezy
Chuck_, did you mean the "typical" individual Jdubpub or the tidal swings of the group as a whole? I agree with Cheezy that while you might be able to sort of predict "typical" behavior, it would have to be an awfully complex formula. After all, Wall Street has spent millions on our finest physicists to do this kind of predictive math on stocks, not always to any great advantage.
As to an individual, well- IMHO there are so many different personality types in the borg (some being kind of OK, some truly delusional) that it would seem for that all bets are off. And really, for the individual R&F, isn't their mental state toward the KH meetings and service heavily influenced by whatever is the latest Governing Body screwup?
As to the Society, they seem to telegraph their crisis moments pretty well themselves because of bad chronology and logic...(the generation?) (the memorial partaker numbers?)...unless they get found out like with the UN!
James