Jimmy Young, with respect ..... do you have any experience, qualifications, speciality training in disease and disease control or biology?
I wouldn’t get on an aeroplane built by a dentist, painter or plumber or doctor or lawyer or taxi driver or even a pilot.
Just because the internet is anonymous, it still calls for humility and personal responsibility. You really can’t just make this stuff up out of thin air.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.13.20022806v2
This is an expert and her numbers seem legit, however even the experts don’t have crystal balls and ever week being new data that may change the predictions, it’s far too early to have certainty.
Then there is the risk of significant CV19 mutations and their own consequences.
Don’t contribute to the mud in the water ...... and stop buying loo rolls!