I mean, really, it has been “tending down” for a long time depending on who you ask. I’ll believe it when I see it.
I’ve been around for a long time. In 97 when the internet went mainstream, I remember specific predictions of a near future collapse. In 2002, after the child abuse issue hit mainstream media, it was only a “matter of when” it would collapse.
In 2012, the Conti lawsuit was the death-kneel.
External forces have never brought down a religion the size of jws. Apathy will. I don’t see apathy at all.