I've really like this thread. It's nice hearing a lot of differing opinions on the topic, although I think all of us can appreciate how little we ultimately know about the organizations financial situation. I think it is clear, however, that they have a bit of a cash flow problem. Otherwise, they would not be so quickly downsizing. And, for those that still think this is done to "speed up" the work and move more people into the field, you just have to look at the situation with the special pioneers. In many developing areas, special pioneers were the only thing propping up certain congregations/circuits. Once they leave (and they will have to to find work) the growth in many of those areas will decline.
I think we can all agree that there has always been a bit of unnecessary spending in the organization. What are all those people at Bethel even doing? One of the biggest shifts, that will save the organization heaps of case, is the off-side remote bethalite. This is someone who ties in via computer and who supports themselves entirely. The organization has no investment whatsoever. They can, essentially, run this organization this way. Graphic designers, video editors, proofreaders, translators. All this can be done from home.
I do think the numbers will begin to decline, but I don't think it will phase many of the faithful. It can easily be spun into the "end is getting close" and everyone will be excited to be a part of a nice select few.
Another asset that I think we tend to forget is all the older ones in the org who have no kids (or have shunned the ones they have) and are leaving everything to the org. I would guess the org has quite a few life insurance policies coming there way. I wouldn't be surpassed if there is more and more push for some of these more "alternative ways" of donating. I think people also tend to forget how saturated with KHs some of the metropolitan areas can be. Some are just a few blocks away from each other in rather expensive areas. Those can be sold and newer, muliple auditoriium halls can be built. And, if the org was really desperate, they could shorten the meeting times to fit in extra congregations. Can you imagine if the meetings were just an hour?