When you say that you think peak oil production occurred in 2000 and has gone down every year since, would this take into account the global recession for the last 3 years that we are now just starting to come out of. The recession could easily explain why oil production has gone lower due to lower demand.
Production has not peaked (or if it has we will only know about it after the fact). Consumption did not decline and is scheduled to increase as we bring Asian countries rapidly online eg. China and its close neighbors. http://www.climateark.org/articles/reader.asp?linkid=22526
Two articles of reference showing the differential between production and consumtion: http://pages.ca.inter.net/~jhwalsh/oilcapv.pdf and http://pages.ca.inter.net/~jhwalsh/oiltrdv.pdf
One thing is certain, we will see a peak. The issue is: even if we find alternate sources of energy these take time to bring online and if we expect them to replace oil it is very likely to be a lond drawn out process (decades). we are spending cash on everything else instead of this problem. Politicians will wait until the problem is very bad and then they will spend money...we can only hope there is enough time.
To add to this we are expected to see the entitlement programs in the US run out of funding in this time period - just glorious timing.
If we should get rid of our pets, can we eat them?
Donkey meat tastes terrible.