F^$#. That would put the total to 7,011,102 if the total peak is also up 4% from last year. This is enough to make me wish I could import my animated pukie faces from my computer-- will have to do.
When do you think JWs will reach the 7,000,000 mark?
by R.F. 28 Replies latest watchtower beliefs
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AllAlongTheWatchtower
I suppose the numerical mark is inevitable short of a complete meltdown of the org, after all, world population keeps growing, all the WTS has to do is continually show ANY increase in membership, and eventually they will hit that figure. Is it really that important though? Something for them to crow about, maybe. But really, lots of people know you can make statistics stand on their head if you feel like it. Will the ones who realize that actually care?
Just think of all the global warming and overpopulation threads...world population increase is like 2% I think, and overall population numbers keep growing. It's actually possible for the WTS to "grow" and yet "shrink" at the same time. In other words, they could increase numbers up to your 7 mill mark, but world population grows at the same time at a higher rate...so that the JWs become LESS of the percentage of the people of the world. Think somebody worked it out before as .22%? When world population hits 7 billion plus, the JWs may actually be reduced as a percentage, to say .20%-even if they have higher numbers.
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moomanchu
7 is God's number, so when there are 7,000,000 brothers and sisters then we know armageddon will be so close so keep on blah blah blah......... I think they will peak at 6,666,666 publishers.
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WTWizard
I think they will peak at 6,666,666 publishers.
Too late for that. According to the 2006 Service Report, the actual peak is 6,741,444 pubs. I guess they are in arrears for 74,778 S-77 forms.
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monophonic
["soft" inactives (that is, those who have drifted away and still haven't turned apostate or started doing things for which they could get disfellowshipped for). ] their numbers don't count inactive publishers, right? i mean those of us inactive for years, they count publishers even if they're not baptized wits if i remember....so actively in service, at least one month of the year gets in, but otherwise not.
correct me if i'm wrong, i'm curious.
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WTWizard
This is how the count works: Each month, they count the number of valid service reports that come from each congregation. Then they add them all up, and this is the number that appears on the report. If you don't turn in a service report one month, that is one that does not reach the committee that's responsible for this (unless the congregation turns in a report in your behalf). And thus, you will not be counted that month.
So, if you have 6,741,444 that are counted. Each one that count that month had to go out in service (real or dummy, it doesn't matter). Then they have to turn in a report on time. That report has to be sent in (disfellowshipped people and those not yet unbaptized publishers will be weeded out: the ones that get through will still be counted). Add another 200,000 that didn't go out that month. Then another 200,000 or so that turn in a late service time or that the congregation loses that slip and it fails to reach the Society on time. Add maybe another 200,000 inactives that simply haven't bothered to go out in service but have not yet turned against it. And you can see how quickly the numbers can exceed 7 million without turning up on the official reports.
That also explains why the averages fluctuate. There are some months where more people tend to go out. April and October are the two major ones. Then there is August, when more people are likely to get their reports in on time. That is also where the Society gets its data when they have a push to inflate the numbers: I remember once when they wanted a million in the US. They were having trouble getting that many to turn in a report in one month, though they calculated that maybe 10% of the publishers were not turning in time in any one month. If you add 10% to even the average of 6,500,000, you still get 7,150,000 people. I wonder if the easier tract work during two of the busy months got many of those out of the woodwork.
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icyestrm
7 million in a progressively destructive organization? I wonder how many are suffering psychological and emotional abuse why trying to serve
Godthe evil GB -
bigmouth
"The other major wild card is Nigeria, which is the major reason why I highlight that country so much. They have around 280,000 members and more than 450,000 Watchtower bookBible studies as of the 2006 report. And that is a country where a Bible study is more likely to progress--if there is going to be 450,000 studies, I would rather it be in the States or Europe where education and the Internet are widespread than in Nigeria or parts of South America, other parts of Africa, or Asia where Internet is a novelty at best."- WTWizard.
I'm just thinking, for the reason that internet information is limited in Third World countries, the increase the borg want will come from there as sure as the dropping off of new recruits from developed countries.
The MAJOR problem the society will have is the flow of money will be far lower relative to the number of people.
How is the WT going to screw this market?? -
blondie
I thought you meant 7,000,000 living
inactive
disassociated
disfellowshipped
or
faded
jws
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nvrgnbk
Go blondie!