I agree with jwfacts on one level - the internet is still an immature 'product' - compare the advances made in automobile technology over the last hundred years and then let your mind imagine what the Internet will enable in 5, 10 or 20 years.
I've worked for an ISP for the last 8 years and am currently working for MySpace so have some <limited> insight into what some of the leading consumer technology companies are working on. One thing is sure - the rate of change is increasing - think about the adoption of DVD players compared to VCR compared to color TV compared to radio. Cliched but true - we tend to underestimate change over the next few years and overestimate what will happen over the next 20 years. Remember those scientists in the 1950's that said we would all be eating pills for dinner in our pressurised bubble homes.
One example - imagine satnav that shows video of what your route looks like - what is round the next corner or the next continent? Not real-time video but still a big leap from the 2D maps we have today. Add in realtime traffic conditions and auto re-routing, maybe some social networking to share route hacks and satnav will be radically more functional within 5 years. Companies like TeleAtlas are compiling vast vast vast amounts of data by driving every road and capturing the video - Google StreetView being an early indication of whats to come. Already you can visit real estate websites that map their available properties and have integrated StreetView to show you what the neighbourhood looks like.
Another thing i'm sure of is that broadcast TV as we know will change radically within 5-10 years. People demand content on a 1-2-1 basis when they want it, where they want it and on a device of their choosing. Think mobile Tivo combined with Hulu, except Hulu (or some aggregation service such as Veoh) will have every piece of content ever created in its easily searchable database. Add user generated content such as V's WT Comments on YouTube to that database and GPS data and jwfacts idea of 'seeing' inside your local Kingdom Hall is not all farfetched.
Whether future Internet technology developments will decimate the WTS I'm not so sure. As long as the human reasons for joining and staying in high control groups exists then the WTS will have a membership. I'm certain the profile of that membership will change and is already in that process. Net decline and stagnation in Western countries and growth amongst immigrant populations and Africa. I think back to my childhood say 25 years ago and the vast battalions of lower middle class white families out every Saturday and Sunday on FS convincing their neighbours the end of the world was nigh - that just doesn't describe the Western JW's anymore. The FS is a drag, the meetings are a chore, there is limited socializing that is sanctioned and its all very cookie-cutter. (In Africa and amongst immigrants selling Paradise is probably doing quite nicely)
We passively consumed Web 1.0, we are Web 2.0. So the UN story on the Guardian website was Web 1.0, creating comments about the same story on JWD was Web 1.5. V's WT Comments on YouTube is Web 2.0 - his own content is the story.
jwfacts is attempting to give a glimpse into Web 3.0. For me I find it difficult to speculate - lacking in imagination maybe. Right now we are amateur computer technicians tethered to a fairly crude input/output device. Its not difficult to foresee an iPhone device maybe twice the size with a simple multitouch interface and that is permanently broadband (10Mbps and above) connected to the cloud. (the cloud being software held centrally and delivered on demand - why do we buy and install Microsoft Office on one static PC - why not fire up MS Word when/where we need to create a document and pay a onetime fee for the privilege)
Again jwfacts is spot on with his reference to the Internet generation - kids that grow up now will be permanently connected to their peers and to the Internet - anything less will make them a sub-citizen. As well as being a marketers dream this connectivity will allow information sharing instantly. (Imagine a JW kid trying to give a canned presentation to his classmates - ok class - Google Jehovahs Witness and all give me one different fact about what we have just heard...of course the JW kid and his classmates would all be immersed holographically telepresenced into a virtual classroom)
Social networking is also still in its infancy - the ever elusive 'next big thing' seems to me to be a mobile-based situational aware social aggregation service with presence. (what was that load of busllsh*t? - sorry I can't describe what I mean any other way). Today we have to subscribe to multiple SN's - LinkedIn for business, FaceBook for friends, MySpace for music with more specific-interest networks opening every day. JWD is a form of social network where we are linked by a common interest. (JWD 2.0 is a separate thread - DogPatch being on the money with his quest to make freeminds.org mobile specific).
So imagine walking into a public space - say an art gallery - and your mobile device which has agregated all your social networks into one master profile (scary thought but again for another thread) brings up a situationally aware list of other people who you may wish to meet. It doesn't share your work profile because thats not appropriate in an art gallery, but it does share out your love of Impressionist works or whatever, you get the idea. But say the art gallery was being used for a corporate event the following week. Walk in there and the same device then shares out a different subset of your profile to a different audience. The point is to enable instant human contact with other people you may want to interact with who you would otherwise have no idea were there or had similar interests. See this article from way back in 2004...
And of course it is presence aware, meaning it knows when you are online and available - MSN style instant mesaaging apps being the classic example. Again a marketers dream to know who you are, where you are and what you like/dislike using advanced alogorithms and vast amounts of user data to predict when/what you may be in the mood to buy. <special offer for you for the next 10 minutes only Paul - walk towards the booth located 10 yards to your left where our tele-representative will show you details of a <insert desirable consumer product/service that Google thinks I might buy>...
SlimBoyFat makes a point that SweetPea and I discussed the other day. I was in Falkirk, UK congregation several years after about 27 people were DF'd for apostasy. You can imagine that was B I G news for a long time. Anne Sanderson was one of those. For the reasons SBF gives I agree this sort of thing is unlikely to happen again today. Where I disagree with him is that the WTS are breathing a sigh of relief because the Internet has arrived and spells the end of effective apostasy. The Internet enables and then speeds up the education and subsequent leaving process for many JW's. SweetPea looked at jwfacts and decided to quit the JWs in a weekend. We have talked to many people that left pre-Internet that had to spend months researching in libraries, museums etc.
Also the social support possibilities the Internet offers heavily outweigh the low impact quiet fade SBF describes. Give me 10,000 quiet lurker faders rather than 27 going out in a bang. In fact many experienced JW's (elders etc) quietly fade without ever looking at the Internet - they just know how to play the system. How many posters here have namechecked JWD, freeminds and jwfacts amongst other websites as being instrumental in their decision to leave? In any case many people that get DF'd for apostasy have by definition shared their findings with others, so its not a zero sum argument.
What SBF doesn't address is the effect the Internet is having on new conversions to the JW's. Tell me that a Bible Study with Internet access is not going to Google for more information? Perhaps this is why so much emphasis is placed on foreign language fields - see here for the chances of these people having broadband...lets not forget the 'foreign language field' is a bit of a misleading term - Polish is not a foreign language in ...erm... Poland...which shows little or no growth as a country. Immigrant Poles are vulnerable of course - lets recruit them in London rather than Warsaw....
One more future-looking thing - Google has already put a huge percentage of the worlds information in your pocket - could you have imagined that 10 years ago? Larry and Sergey did. Today they are imagining put the worlds information in your head.
"Your mind is tremendously efficient at weighing an enormous amount of information. We want to make smarter search engines that do a lot of the work for us. The smarter we can make the search engine, the better. Where will it lead? Who knows? But it’s credible to imagine a leap as great as that from hunting through library stacks to a Google session, when we leap from today’s search engines to having the entirety of the world’s information as just one of our thoughts." Sergey Brin September 2004
So in summary I'm excited about the continuing evolution of the Internet and the possibilities for interaction it will offer. It won't decimate the WTS - perhaps when religion loses its sacred cow status and legislation is enacted against shunning and the deliberate misrepresentation of medical facts about blood there might be a move to the mainstream. Even better if legislation could define cult practices and outlaw high control techniques.
Thanks for reading.