What are the factors affecting the decline?
Old age
TATT (thanks internet)
less people sucked in (thanks internet)
As the JW populates ages with less having kids and even less kids staying in, the trend should be formed if this isn't the beginning there will be one soon. The only thing that can make wts grow like they did 20 years ago is another global event, economic or war where many half ass believers run back to "mother" because the end is near. Without some event scaring these into returning wts should began a nice decline, which means they either peaked or ar in the process of topping.
When I still went to meetings, it was really rare to see studies at regular meetings, baptisms of recruiters were very rare! I imagine it's even harder to convince public today that the end is near and that generation overlaps.
Does anyone have stats for Canada?