If I recall, Marvin's source was looking at only one illness...... an aggressive anemia. Not open heart surgery, transplants, child birth, Cancer treatments, elective surgery, emergency surgery or Trauma etc.
Let's take trauma. It's more clear cut. "Unintentional and intentional injuries were the fifth and seventh leading causes, accounting for 6.23% and 2.84% of worldwide mortalities, respectively in 2002 World Health Organization estimates.
The over all mortality rate world wide is on average 1%.
JW's are approaching 8,000,000 publishers....... world wide a 1% mortality rate means 80,000 will die this year and next etc.
Taking just one year and the combined percentage of 6.23% and 2.84% (rounded out) comes to 9% or 7200 deaths due to traumatic injury for JW's.
Here are a few things to consider #1. these are JW's who have died from injuries so the injuries in most instances would have been severe enough to administer some form of blood. #2 JW's do not accept blood transfusions so they carry blood cards or have representatives to intercede.
Can we find any agreement that many JW's who sustained a very serious traumatic injury and refuses blood can die from that decision? What would be your guess on that number? http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3057892/ "Patients with uncontrolled hemorrhage requiring immediate transfusion as part of
their initial care are the major test of a trauma center transfusion service.
Patients present and can die within minutes. To survive, the most critically
injured need red cells and plasma within a very short time and in adequate
quantities."
Since there will be approximately 7200 trauma deaths among JW's how many of those would have survived if they accepted blood?
"Of 5649 such patients admitted to the STC in the calendar year 2000, 514
received a blood product, and 490 of those patients received red blood cells
(RBCs) [4]. ................. The total number of units of blood components given was 5219 units of red cells, 5226 units of plasma, 2892 units of platelets and 64units of cryoprecipitate............................................The survival rate for these patients was
97%." If I am guessing based on these numbers then approximately 1,000 JW's could have been saved?
And let's remember we limited this to just severe Trauma cases. All total I wouldn't be surprised if we have lost many many thousands over the past 68 years (dating back to 1945).
While 250,000 unsupported blood related deaths is difficult to prove this whole belief started in 1945 an era when medicine was just coming out of the dark ages. Many life saving operations were too dangerous to perform without blood until the late 1980's . My own open heart surgery reguired a fair amount of blood in 1987.