2013 Report - difference in av. pubs compared to % of baptisms

by likeabird 31 Replies latest watchtower beliefs

  • likeabird
    likeabird

    88JM, I'm not a perfectionist, but I do like to do a job properly and can spend hours just chasing down details. This is important, like you say, if a document is to be used as a resource, in which case mistakes can and do get repeated.

  • Crazyguy
    Crazyguy

    I know someone that went back and calculated baptisms over the years , can't remember how many years he went back but a lot. He said there are more x jw's now then current ones.

  • jwfacts
    jwfacts

    88JM and likeabird - There are very detailed analytics at http://www.jwfacts.com/watchtower/statistics.php

    I have a spreadsheet that goes back about 100 years, though it gets very patchy prior to the 1940s.

  • 88JM
    88JM

    Thanks jwfacts - yes, I've seen the excellent resources there before - very useful indeed. I see it does cover the grand totals, though not the country by country breakdown.

    Anyway, I've now updated my previous spreadsheets with the new 2013 Yearbook data - it now contains 26 years of statistics.

    As before, there are two files for download, the second being the more useful one to most of you.

    Yearbook Stats 1988 - 2013:

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_bzL2A4XRioU2tSLWlXODBmOW8

    MIRROR #1: http://dfiles.eu/files/8gmowa0u9

    MIRROR #2: http://www.fileflyer.com/view/MSqBQAs

    MIRROR #3: http://www.fileswap.com/dl/dz0k38QrjR/

    MIRROR #4: http://www.sendspace.com/file/qgngj0

    Yearbook Stats by Field 1988 - 2013:

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_bzL2A4XRiodUs1bmQyNlJVZG8

    MIRROR #1: http://dfiles.eu/files/1nqmvzpfh

    MIRROR #2: http://www.fileflyer.com/view/MSqBQAs

    MIRROR #3: http://www.fileswap.com/dl/OaJKghTz7x/

    MIRROR #4: http://www.sendspace.com/file/6409gg

  • 88JM
    88JM
  • Splash
    Splash
    SERVICE YEAR PEAK PUBS INCREASE %GE INCREASE BAPTISED %GE INCREASE MEMORIAL PARTAKERS CONGS LANDS ESTIMATED LEAVERS
    1952-53 519,982 63,717 13.965 50,665 -7.39 742,565 19,183 14,163 143 -13,052
    1953-54 580,498 60,516 11.638 57,369 13.23 829,836 17,884 14,531 -3,147
    1954-55 642,929 62,431 10.755 63,642 10.93 878,303 16,815 16,044 147 1,211
    1955-56 640,347 -2,582 -0.402 919,994 16,302 16,240 162 2,582
    1956-57 716,901 76,554 11.955 59,828 1,075,163 15,628 16,883 169 -16,726
    1957-58 798,326 81,425 11.358 62,666 4.74 1,171,789 15,037 17,878 175 -18,759
    1958-59 871,737 73,411 9.196 86,345 37.79 1,283,603 14,511 19,982 175 12,934
    1959-60 916,332 44,595 5.116 69,027 -20.06 1,519,821 13,911 21,008 187 24,432
    1960-61 965,169 48,837 5.330 63,070 -8.63 1,553,909 13,284 21,557 185 14,233
    1961-62 989,192 24,023 2.489 69,649 10.43 1,639,681 12,714 22,166 189 45,626
    1962-63 1,040,836 51,644 5.221 62,798 -9.84 1,693,752 12,292 22,761 198 11,154
    1963-64 1,075,523 34,687 3.333 68,236 8.66 1,809,476 11,953 23,483 33,549
    1964-65 1,109,806 34,283 3.188 64,393 -5.63 1,933,089 11,550 24,158 201 30,110
    1965-66 1,118,665 8,859 0.798 58,904 -8.52 1,971,107 11,179 24,910 50,045
    1966-67 1,160,604 41,939 3.749 74,981 27.29 2,195,612 10,981 25,206 33,042
    1967-68 1,221,504 60,900 5.247 82,842 10.48 2,493,519 10,619 25,409 21,942
    1968-69 1,336,112 114,608 9.383 120,905 45.95 2,719,860 10,368 25,694 6,297
    1969-70 1,483,430 147,318 11.026 164,193 35.80 3,226,168 10,526 26,524 208 16,875
    1970-71 1,590,793 107,363 7.237 149,808 -8.76 3,453,542 10,384 27,154 42,445
    1971-72 1,658,990 68,197 4.287 163,123 8.89 3,662,407 10,350 28,407 94,926
    1972-73 1,758,429 99,439 5.994 193,990 18.92 3,994,924 10,523 31,850 94,551
    1973-74 2,021,432 263,003 14.957 297,872 53.55 4,550,457 10,723 34,576 34,869
    1974-75 2,179,256 157,824 7.808 295,073 -0.94 4,925,643 10,550 38,256 212 137,249
    1975-76 2,248,390 69,134 3.172 196,656 -33.35 4,972,571 10,187 40,155 127,522
    1976-77 2,223,538 -24,852 -1.105 124,459 -36.71 5,107,518 10,080 41,635 149,311
    1977-78 2,182,341 -41,197 -1.853 95,052 -23.63 5,095,831 9,762 42,255 136,249
    1978-79 2,186,075 3,734 0.171 113,672 19.59 5,323,766 9,727 42,600 109,938
    1979-80 2,272,278 86,203 3.943 113,779 0.09 5,726,656 9,564 43,181 217 27,576
    1980-81 2,361,896 89,618 3.944 119,836 5.32 5,987,893 9,601 43,870 30,218
    1981-82 2,477,608 115,712 4.899 138,540 15.61 6,252,787 9,529 44,953 22,828
    1982-83 2,652,323 174,715 7.052 161,896 16.86 6,767,707 9,292 46,235 -12,819
    1983-84 2,842,531 190,208 7.171 179,421 10.82 7,416,974 9,081 47,869 -10,787
    1984-85 3,024,131 181,600 6.389 189,800 5.78 7,792,109 9,051 49,716 222 8,200
    1985-86 3,229,022 204,891 6.775 225,868 19.00 8,160,597 8,927 52,177 20,977
    1986-87 3,395,612 166,590 5.159 230,843 2.20 8,965,221 8,808 54,911 64,253
    1987-88 3,592,654 197,042 5.803 239,268 3.65 9,201,071 8,685 57,670 42,226
    1988-89 3,787,188 194,534 5.415 263,855 10.28 9,479,064 8,734 60,192 69,321
    1989-90 4,017,213 230,025 6.074 301,518 14.27 9,950,058 8,869 63,016 71,493
    1990-91 4,278,820 261,607 6.512 300,945 -0.19 10,650,158 8,850 66,207 211 39,338
    1991-92 4,472,787 193,967 4.533 301,002 0.02 11,431,171 8,683 69,558 229 107,035
    1992-93 4,709,889 237,102 5.301 296,004 -1.66 11,865,765 8,693 73,070 231 58,902
    1993-94 4,914,094 204,205 4.336 314,818 6.36 12,288,917 8,617 75,573 232 110,613
    1994-95 5,199,895 285,801 5.816 338,491 7.52 13,147,201 8,645 78,620 232 52,690
    1995-96 5,413,769 213,874 4.113 366,579 8.30 12,921,933 8,757 81,908 233 152,705
    1996-97 5,599,931 186,162 3.439 375,923 2.55 14,322,226 8,795 85,256 233 189,761
    1997-98 5,888,650 288,719 5.156 316,092 -15.92 13,896,312 8,756 87,644 233 27,373
    1998-99 5,912,492 23,842 0.405 323,439 2.32 14,088,751 8,755 89,985 234 299,597
    1999-00 6,035,564 123,072 2.082 288,907 -10.68 14,872,086 8,661 91,487 235 165,835
    2000-01 6,117,666 82,102 1.360 263,431 -8.82 15,374,986 8,730 93,154 235 181,329
    2001-02 6,304,645 186,979 3.056 265,469 0.77 15,597,746 8,760 94,600 234 78,490
    2002-03 6,429,351 124,706 1.978 258,845 -2.50 16,097,622 8,565 95,919 235 134,139
    2003-04 6,513,132 83,781 1.303 262,416 1.38 16,760,607 8,570 96,894 235 178,635
    2004-05 6,613,829 100,697 1.546 247,631 -5.63 16,383,333 8,524 98,269 235 146,934
    2005-06 6,741,444 127,615 1.930 248,327 0.28 16,675,113 8,758 99,770 236 120,712
    2006-07 6,957,854 216,410 3.210 298,304 20.13 17,672,443 9,105 101,376 236 81,894
    2007-08 7,124,443 166,589 2.394 289,678 -2.89 17,790,631 9,986 103,267 236 123,089
    2008-09 7,313,173 188,730 2.649 276,233 -4.64 18,168,323 10,857 105,298 236 87,503
    2009-10 7,508,050 194,877 2.665 294,368 6.57 18,706,895 11,202 107,000 236 99,491
    2010-11 7,659,019 150,969 2.011 263,131 -10.61 19,374,737 11,824 109,403 236 112,162
    2011-12 7,782,346 123,327 1.610 268,777 2.15 19,013,343 12,604 111,719 239 145,450
    2012-13 7,965,954 183,608 2.359 277,344 3.19 19,241,252 13,204 113,823 239 93,736
  • Crazyguy
    Crazyguy

    Splash what does the numbers in red mean for example under the term leavers????

  • EdenOne
    EdenOne

    What is a negative number of leavers supposed to show? I'm confused with that one.

    I see that you are calculating a co-relation between increase in publishers and baptized. The negative number happens when the number of baptized is lower than the number of publishers increase. But how can you establish that relation, when a "leaver" is someone who has already been baptized, and the number of "increase" included both baptized and unbaptized publishers?

    I'm confused.

    Eden

  • Splash
    Splash

    There is no way to correctly calculate the number of leavers since the figures to do this do not exist in the raw data.

    The above leavers is an estimate of those who die or stop publishing. Negative leavers are a consequence of the poor data.

    Ignore the colour red, it's a carry over from the original spreadsheet and has no meaning in this context.

    Splash

  • Phizzy
    Phizzy

    A fascinating set of figures, thanks for your hard work !

    Interpreting the data is not easy, some things stand out though.

    I can understand the huge numbers leaving after the 1975 nonsense, and from1999/2000 when the Internet began to bite, but I wonder what happened in 1955/6 ? Something upset a few !

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