Is a College Degree Worth It?
Not Necessarily.
I still prefer the common sense Austrian method of analysis to the econometric approach. A good article on the subject can be found here:
http://mises.org/daily/6720/A-College-Degree-Does-Not-Make-You-a-Million-Dollars
Some of the interesting points raised:
1) The data in these studies is self-selecting. Intuitively we already know that "the more ambitious and talented go to college in greater proportion than their peers." It is not the piece of paper hanging up on the wall that makes these people successful -- it is their underlying character and motivation that makes them successful. These are the kinds of people that could start as a floor mopper at McDonalds and end up running the entire store within a few years. Everything they do they do seriously with the goal to be better than everyone else. It does not matter where these ones go, they bring success with them. It just so happens that most of them are drawn towards university today because that is the narrative that we drill into their heads from a young age: "you can't be successful unless you go to college." But that is simply not true.
Even the article's attempt to get around these truths I found unconvincing.
"Genetically identical twins raised in the same environment are likely to have very similar ability levels to start with, which enables one to isolate the effect of education."
It is not "ability" that matters, it is interests and the motivation to pursue them. Some of the most gifted and seemlingly intelligent people I knew through school ended up going nowhere in life simply because they were lazy or had no clearly defined goals or interests. And the ones we all thought were too stupid to succeed ended up clawing their way past everyone else with hard work alone.
And all of that is beside the point anyways, because even identical twins can differ radically in both raw ability and interests. How do the studies account for twins with differnent attitudes and motivations? How do they account for twins pursuing different fields with naturally different pay scales? What if one twin enjoys accounting while the other wants nothing more in life than to be a photographer? They both pursue their chosen careers, and the accountant naturally makes a lot more money. But can we really say he is more successful if they both are doing what they want to do? How are we really defining and measuring "success"?
2) The individual who forgoes college gets a 4 year head start on work experience and savings. If the non-college individual also spends those 4 years doing self-study and looking for cheaper education alternatives (such as part time tech schools, trade schools and online options), then all of a sudden that person has a huge advantage over the green horn new college grad who is dragging 100k in debt behind him and has little to no real world work experience. Perhaps that is part of the reason why such a HUGE proportion of new college grads end up either unemployed or not working in their field of study at all.
3) You also have to be careful of who exactly is being compared to who in these 'studies.' As the Mises article brings out:
"Indeed, who exactly are we comparing? We’re not only comparing Jane-Lawyer to Joe-Carpenter, but we’re also comparing financial analysts with the mentally disabled, medical doctors with welfare dependents, building engineers with drug addicts, architects with pan handlers, marketing directors with immigrants who can barely speak English, and university professors with career criminals (whose earnings, by the way, are rarely reported)."
4) The only truly good degrees are the STEM and Professional degrees. But once you venture outside of those, the average earnings for college grads plummets, far below the point of being worth the investment.
5) Alternatives to University are also always ignored or played down. Self study is far more viable now in the age of the internet than it was 100 years ago, where colleges were built up around physical libraries simply because of communication limitations. You now have online books, study courses, chat rooms, groups and associations devoted solely to your field of study, etc. There are also more and more Vocational Technology classes being offered to kids still in High School, as well as adults (I myself attended a Vo-Tech school during my Junior and Senior year in High School). There are apprenticeship programs and entrepreneurial programs galore for those who would look for them.
6) And lastly, a point I only partially touched on earlier: the often crushing and suffocating debt that comes along with long term University degrees. " Seven in 10 college seniors (71%) who graduated last year had student loan debt, with an average of $29,400 per borrower." Those figures can very easily skyrocket to 50-60-70-100k+ in debt for the longer term degrees. I've seen stories of many Law students with debts upwards of $250,000, and then they wind up stuck as a common clerk making $40,000 a year, or worse, they never find work in their field at all.