Well, lots of opinion and we are all entitled to them.
My opinion is that 'it'll be different this time' and my "evidence" is...
1) Masses of disappointed JWs. (all their teachings have been undermined, not by outsiders, but by the GB themselves. This has had an effect. Future reactions will not be the same as in the past.)
2) The Watchtower Society is shrinking where it counts.
3) The information proving WT is a bunch of hypocritical fools is exploding and that only continues.
4) The world has changed. Did you ever think that a lunatic would make it into the most powerful chair in the world?
In the past, dubs truly believed and threw their lives away quickly. Today, all I see is self-sparing pansies who are doing what they want away from the kingdumb hall.
I've been part of the organization over 50 years, and I am still going. I see it first hand. Many of you fine persons are outsiders and you cannot understand the dynamic. And reports from that part of the world reinforce my opinion. Dubs are sick and tired of the same old-same old conflicting doctrines, hollow promises and do more do more. They don't trust the ORG like they used to. And I believe they are just looking for an excuse to stop.
Time will tell. I'll be watching.