Scholar wrote:
You are quite correct, only a dunderhead could accept a hypothetical date 587 for the Fall of Jerusalem. The WT Society using reliable biblical data computes this event for 607. A foolproof methodology of 539 for the Fall of Babylon followed by the release of the Jews under Cyrus in 537 which ended their exile to Babylon and the desolation of the land of seventy years. One merely fixes the beginning of these momentous events by adding seventy years to 537=607. Boy that is so easy.
Yep, that is precisely how the WT comes up with that date--by counting 2 years forward from 539 then back 70. The year 607 is not based on any other scientific or historical evidence. The question in this simple (not brilliant) scenario is, what is it you're calculating for the 70 years?
The problem for the WT is that there are astronomical "absolute dates" from which your 607BC can be shown to be at or about Nebuchadnezzar's first year, and consequently that Babylon reigned about 70 years from the time he became king. There is no way it can be 18 years off to validate Jerusalem's destruction coinciding with Nebuchadnezzar's 18th year--which is in full harmony with the scriptures:
"This whole land shall become a ruin and a waste, and these nations shall serve the king of babylon seventy years. Then after seventy years are completed, I will punish the king of Babylon and that nation, . . ."--Jer.25:11
"Only when Babylon's seventy years are completed will I visit you, and I will fulfill to you my promise to bring you back to this place."--Jer.29:10
The Babylonians (and the Jews) were meticulous in their records of the reigns of their kings.
As Farkel explained--in a slightly different fashion--they did not have the Gregorian calendar. It should not need to be explained that the Babylonians did not have a concept of calendar count-down to Christ--nor did the Jews (i.e., BC or AD ("in the year of our Lord"). All of that began in the chuches some centuries after the Christian era began. The way both the Jews and Babylonians kept track of years was by associating events, including astronomical events and records, with what year an event occurred in the reign of which king. So, the dating of important events would be stated something like:
"In the ninth year of King Zedekiah of Judah, in the tenth month, King Nebuchadrezzar of Babylon and all his army came against Jerusalem and beseiged it; in the eleventh year of Zedekiah, in the fourth month, on the ninth day of the month, a breach was made in the city. When Jerusalem was taken, . . ."--Jeremiah 39:1,2
"And in the ninth year of [Zedekiah's] reign, in the tenth month, on the tenth day of the month, King Nebuchadrezzar of Babylon came with all his army against Jerusalem, and they laid seige to it; they built siege works against it all around. So the city was besieged until the eleventh year of King Zedekiah. On the ninth day of the fourth month the famine became so severe in the city that there was no food for the people of the land. . . . In the fifth month, on the tenth day of the month--which was the nineteenth year of King Nebuchadrezzar, king of Babylon--Nebuzaradan the captain of the bodyguard who served the king of Babylon, entered Jerusalem. He burned the house of the Lord, . . ."--Jer.52:4-13
In our day, "absolute dates" are derived from archaeological finds, records of ancient events that describe precise astronomical events--such as solar and lunar eclipses and other celestial occurrences of interest to astronomers--associated with a particular year in the reign of a particular king the way we see the Bible account preserved records of events between Babylon and Jerusalem. The Babylonians, and Nebuchadnezzar in particular, were avid astronomers--for which historians are greatly indebted. There are at least 30 astronomical events for Nebuchadnezzar's 37th year recorded on the Babylonian astronomical diary discovered by archaeologists, named VAT 4956, as well as others dated in the reigns of two of his successors. Thereby are at least 30 "absolute dates" for the 37th year of Nebuchadnezzar. If you pinpoint Nebuchadnezzar's 37th year, then you can pinpoint his first year. If you pinpoint his first year, then you can pinpoint his 18th/19th year, the year he beseiged Jerusalem. As one historian put it, the year of the destruction of Jerusalem by Babylon is one of the very few certain dates in ancient history. Add to the astronomical "absolute" dating the fact that 539 BC agrees with every other line of historical and archaeological research.
So for this discussion--it is not the year when Babylon was conquered by the Persians that the WT's chronology for the 70 years hinges, since all agree on 539 BC for that. (Which, btw, 539 BC is derived indirectly from only one "absolute date" associated with the 6th year of Cyrus.) The critical point for the Watchtower's argument is whether the 70 years applied to Babylon, or--as they claim--to the time of Jewish exile when they were without their temple in Jerusalem. And that definition hinges on, among other things, what year was the 18/19th year of King Nebuchadnezzar.
XQsThaiPoes:
Disproving the Watchtower's chronology about the 70 years should not be misunderstood as agreeing with their interpretation of what the 70 years is supposed to represent for long-range prophecy. Using it to calculate the 1914 parousia is a whole other discussion, which becomes moot when you understand their flawed chronology. :-)
~Ros