Posts by coalize

56

2014 increase in Memorial Partakers to 14,121

by jwfacts in

i have updated the article at memorial partakers with the figures released for 2014. no surprises here, it has risen yet again, this time by 6% over last year, and is now 14,121.. .

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coalize

To make the calcul, we have to make some guess :

1) Let's begin to count in 1935. The datas from the year before are not really consistent for a model.

2) Let's say that the youngest of the 52 000 partakers of 1935 was 30 years old and the oldest was 100 years old and that the age distribution follow a classic symetric regular normal distribution.

3) Let's say the life expectancy of a annointed is 80 years.

We build an approximative model, who can follow and be adjusted every year with the people lacking or the people added.

The first thing to notice easily, with this model all the partakers from 1935 are dead now. Then the number of taotal partakers is more than 52 000.

Now we have to ajust the model years after years. I won't explain all the calculs here, they are very boring, I will make an article more precise soon. But let make us a fast idea

on the 52 000 partakers in 1935, according to our normal law:2 000 was less than 40 years old, 34 000 was more than 60 years old, and in those 9 000 was more than 80 years old.

Then, if the annointed never died, on these 52 000 partakers, only 2 000 was less than 80 years old in 1975.

But they die like another people : With the life expectancy chosen at 80 years, it means than in 1975, it was only 2 000 partakers alive who was partakers in 1935. 1 000 of those was between 70 and 80 years old, 1 000 of those was more than 80 years old. And then in 1975 the nomber of anointed already dead was 50 000

Let's ajust with the number of 1975. the number of partakers was around 10 500. It means it was 8 500 new partakers who wasn't partakers in 1935.

Let's assume the distribution was the same than in 1935 for these 8 500 new people. It means :

on the 10 500 partakers in 1975 :300 was less than 40 years old, 7 500 was more than 60 years old, and in those 2 500 was more than 80 years old.

Then, if the annointed never died, on these 10 500 partakers of 1975, only 300 was less than 80 years old in 2014.

But they die like another people : With the life expectancy chosen at 80 years, it means than in 2014, it was only 300 partakers alive who was partakers in 1975. 150 of those was between 70 and 80 years old, 150 of those was more than 80 years old. And then in 2014 the nomber of anointed dead since 1975 was 10 000

And then the nomber of anointed dead only between 1935 and 2014 was around 60 000!!!

In 2014, 14 121 partakers, then in those around 14 000 wasn't partakers in 1975.

We have then since 1935 : 74 000 different partakers.

And in this fast calcul we don't count :

1) the partakers who enter and die between 1935 and 1975 ( around 5 000)

2) the partakers who enter and die between 1975 and 2014 (around 1 000)

3) the partakers who enter and die before 1935. (I don't have a clue : let's say 20 000)

Then we arrive easily at a total of 100 000 individual partakers. And I use a method who tend to give a minimum...

56

2014 increase in Memorial Partakers to 14,121

by jwfacts in

i have updated the article at memorial partakers with the figures released for 2014. no surprises here, it has risen yet again, this time by 6% over last year, and is now 14,121.. .

.

coalize

What would be fascinating if some one wanted to do the research (if it was even possible) I want to know how many cumulative unique people have partaken over the years. The over/under would be 144K. Do think the real number is higher or lower?

Of course nobody can have the exact information to count exactly every individual. But there are enough datas to approximate it very great with some basic actuarial statistics. I will try to make that.

32

2014 Watchtower Publisher Statistics

by jwfacts in

the 2014 grand totals page has been released onto facebook.. .

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i have started updating the statistics and graphs at jwfacts.com/watchtower/statistics.php, and will release highlights as i work through it during the rest of the day..

coalize

OneEyedJoe : Thanks for the answer! I think the charts show two things then :

1) Some have jumped on this occasion, that's why it increase so much.

2) The majority continue to note a study, when it's really a formal biblical study with regular one hour study sessions... if not, the number of studies will be 30 times higher...

32

2014 Watchtower Publisher Statistics

by jwfacts in

the 2014 grand totals page has been released onto facebook.. .

.

i have started updating the statistics and graphs at jwfacts.com/watchtower/statistics.php, and will release highlights as i work through it during the rest of the day..

coalize

What's a "bible study" now ?

When I was in, it was very difficult to start one... Your graphs seems to show than it's really more easy to start bibel studies since 2000...

15

So romantic - Guys, if you really liked a girl, for how long would you chase her?

by fulltimestudent in

a segment from (in english) if you are the one?

one of china's most popular tv shows, it can have up to 50 million viewers.. its chrissie time, so we can be sentimental (smile).. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teic1sk8epy.

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coalize

if you really liked a girl, for how long would you chase her?

It depends : if she seem to be receptive at me or not. No time too loose with that old-fashioned tradition. And it's even not really romantic!

245

Still pointing your Finger when having a Rafter in your eye?

by DocHouse in

yes- everyone has faults and makes mistakes; an organization even more so.. yet, you ignore all the fingers pointing at you.. many here have no faith.

many here go to churches who lie about everything biblical; look at x-mas!.

but at least we know god and christ and try to live up to their name!.

coalize

You sound like a member of the Assemblies of Yahweh.

I never heard about that!

45

Pagan Origins

by tinker in

a currently active jdub acquaintance occasionally stops by to say hello and we share a wee dram or two.

after the general small talk of new cars, exotic vacations and sports we often get into the "why" we are xjubs.

he is a well educated publisher who holds a phd in child psychology.

coalize

Many wedding customs have pagan origins from what I understand.

Yes, let me tell you a funny story :

It was two young people, very sympatics, french JW's, who wanted to avoid all the pagans thing in the wedding ceremony.

That's why, they choose to not go at the catholic roman church, pagan place and false religion building. They asked too to the guest to not throw the traditionnal handful of rice .

Everything went fine. The bride was very pretty under the white veil and the beribonned bouquet of flower she had in hands was sumptuous. And the bridesmaids was very pretty too.

After they said "Yes", they put tenderly the wedding ring at the left ring finger. The day after they jump in a plane for a great honeymoon.

Arrived at the hotel, the young husband, very courteous, take his new wife in the arms to enter in the honeymoon suite, where they do what they had to do (it's no more our concern)!

It sounds very classical, isn'it ?

But they forgot some détails :

1) The veil : It was, even before the wedding dress was used, designed to mask the face of the bride to the evil spirits, meant to be attrcted by the happiness of the other people

2) The bouquet : this bouquet is meant to guarantee the marital ecstasy, because the flowers are a symbol of love and fecondity.

3) The ribbon : the ribbon of the bouquet are meant to be a luck symbol.

4) The bridesmaids : They are here to protect the bride from the demons and other surnatural power beast and to empeach his kidnapping.

5) The ring at the left ring finger : It comes from an ancient greek believing, who states that a blood vein, called the "vein of love" comes from this finger to the heart.

6) The honeymoon : It comes from the time of weddings by rapt. The guy was taking the wife very far from her family until the parents cancel the research. And in the same time it was useful to escape from all the evil spirits who wanted to destruct the happiness of the new couple.

7) To carry the wife to enter the honeymoon suite : it's a tradition meant to thwart the misfortune. It empeachs the bride to stumble and to war off bad luck

101

Toddler accidentally shoots woman dead in Idaho Walmart

by nicolaou in

a woman has been shot dead by a 2-year-old in a wal-mart store in idaho.. .

the 29-year-old was shopping with four children in the store in hayden, when the two-year-old reached into her handbag and fired the weapon, shooting her dead.. initial reports suggested the woman was the boy's mother, but the police have said that this is as yet unclear how they are related.. source; http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/toddler-accidentally-shoots-woman-in-idaho-walmart-9950847.html.

i've nothing to add to my past comments on americas psychotic relationship with guns.

coalize

Gun control doesn't keep the bad guys from getting guns

I didn't notice that the free gun policy on the USA keep them from getting them anyway.

I brought up Switzerland because many here suggest simple gun ownership leads to violence. Switzerland proves that that is not the case. As a matter of fact assault weapons and automatic weapons are probably more available there than they are in the states. Switzerland proves that the problem is culture NOT gun ownership.

Nothing to see. In switzerland they have one of the more strong social policies in the world. That's the deal. There's almost no poor.

If you want to decrease singnificantly the criminality, increase all the social policies in USA.... Nobody will need gun no more ..

In france, we made a lot of statistical studies and you can check, the increase of criminilaty is totally correlated at the decrease of social policies.

If you want to fight criminality, fight poverty first.. the rest is unuseful!

45

Pagan Origins

by tinker in

a currently active jdub acquaintance occasionally stops by to say hello and we share a wee dram or two.

after the general small talk of new cars, exotic vacations and sports we often get into the "why" we are xjubs.

he is a well educated publisher who holds a phd in child psychology.

coalize

Stonehedge was put together by the Nephilim

ah yes! I forgot them!!!!!

I heard too that Hercule in the greek mythology was a Nephilim!!!!

263

Poster country flags and privacy

by Simon in

the new forum originally had a little country flag next to each post showing the country that the post was made from based on the geoip encoding (the country the ip address is from).

before i switched over to the new site someone made an issue about it violating their privacy and i didn't want to complicate and confuse the switchover with policy debate at the same time as technical issues so removed the flags even though i disagreed.. someone has already requested it as a feature and i think it should be added back so i thought it's now time to open the discussion and get everyone's opinions.

first, the reason i think it should be shown:.

coalize

There is a poster here, an active JW, who comes from a EU country where the number of congregations is fewer than the digits on your hand

That's why I think some merged flag is a good option.