Seasonal flu usually doesn't KILL that many doctors - 40 as of today in Italy. This new stat in Italy gets the attention of statisticians who are hopeful it will be same as a bad flu epidemic, but I hope Wolfgang Woldarg is right.
He's not the only one saying it might be lower - or around 1/10 of a percent up to 1% after everyone is tested. The original stats off of models they were following out of London were over estimated but they're changing daily.