"This will not end well for them."
Yeah, and I don't argue any of that. Concerning CSA scandals : victims should pursue just compensation to the fullest extent possible. However, if there are 8.5 to 9 million "core" JWs, these CSA scandals wouldn't be any cause for concern. Sure, there might be some judgements, but it's easy to spin that to the core believers that it was an unjust outcome from a Satanic world, and it could be used to rally more donations.
But the issue is the "core" isn't there, or is rapidly shrinking, or probably both. They can rally around assets for a while, change the way they do business a bit, and go forward without the CSA problem. But the CSA issue is a drop in the bucket to the shrinking core beliver count.
They are losing on the ideological front line. And that's the way it should be. The org shouldn't go out with bang (like with some huge governmental attack - the likes of which would reinvigorate the core belivers). It will shrink with time as more people come to realize it's a cult.
They may shift the shunning doctrine, allow beards. Hell, maybe bring back birthdays and Christmas. But the only way to halt shrinkage is to have a core set of people that actually believe.