@scholar
You have presented ten responses defending 607 BCE as the year ancient
Jerusalem was destroyed by Babylon. Below, each argument (Responses 1–10) is
addressed in order with rebuttals. Historical,
archaeological, biblical, and astronomical evidence consistently shows that the
Watchtower Society’s 607 BCE date is untenable, and that Jerusalem actually
fell in 586/587 BCE. Each point is examined in detail, demonstrating the flaws
in the JW interpretation.
Response 1: Secular Chronology
and the “605 vs 609” Debate
JW Claim: Secular
historians are unsure whether Babylon’s 70-year period of dominance began in
609 BCE or 605 BCE. This alleged uncertainty is used to argue that the entire
secular chronology (and the 587 BCE destruction date) is unreliable.
Rebuttal: The debate
over 605 vs 609 BCE concerns a minor question of when Babylon’s
domination began, not the date of Jerusalem’s fall. Scholarly discussion
of whether the 70 years of Babylonian supremacy started with the battle of
Harran in 609 BCE or the battle of Carchemish in 605 BCE reflects
normal historical inquiry over a 4-year difference – it does not
call into question the well-established date of Jerusalem’s destruction.
In fact, no reputable historian places Jerusalem’s fall outside 586
or 587 BCE. Multiple independent lines of evidence – including Babylonian
chronicles, business records, ancient historians, astronomical tablets,
and later Greek and Persian sources – converge on 587 BCE for Jerusalem’s
destruction. By contrast, the JW position (607 BCE) requires inserting a full 20
extra years into the chronology, a discrepancy far beyond any normal
scholarly debate. Such a 20-year distortion is historically impossible
given the wealth of evidence that aligns with 587 BCE. In short, minor
scholarly debates on Babylon’s rise (609 vs 605) do not invalidate the
broad consensus: Jerusalem fell in 586/587 BCE, and the JW date of 607 BCE
stands completely outside this consensus.
Response 2: Jeremiah 25 &
29 – Context of the 70 Years
JW Claim: “Jeremiah
25:11 and 29:10 refer exclusively to Judah’s exile/desolation lasting 70
years.” In this view, the “70 years” is interpreted as the period of
Jerusalem (and Judah) lying desolate, supposedly from 607 BCE until the Jews’
return in 537 BCE.
Rebuttal: This
argument ignores the explicit wording and context of Jeremiah’s prophecy. In Jeremiah
25:11, the prophet says: “This whole land will be a desolation and an
astonishment, and these nations will serve the king of Babylon seventy years.”
Notice “these nations” – Jeremiah includes not only Judah, but the
surrounding nations, under Babylonian domination for 70 years.
The 70 years in context refer to Babylon’s period of regional supremacy, during
which Judah and others would be subjugated. This period began when Babylon
definitively defeated Assyria/Egypt (c. 609–605 BCE) and ended when
Babylon itself fell in 539 BCE.
Furthermore, Jeremiah 29:10 clarifies God’s promise: “When
seventy years are completed for Babylon, I will come to you and fulfill my
good promise to bring you back to this place.” (NIV). The phrase “for
Babylon” indicates the 70 years are counted as Babylon’s tenure as the dominant
power History confirms Babylon fell in 539 BCE, and shortly thereafter
(538 BCE) Cyrus issued the decree allowing Jews to return. Indeed, the first
returnees were back in Judah by 537 BCE, just as Jeremiah’s prophecy
implied – after Babylon’s 70-year period ended.
The JW interpretation, which isolates the 70 years to only Judah’s exile
and pushes the start to 607 BCE, contradicts the biblical text. It ignores that
Jeremiah spoke of multiple nations serving Babylon, and it conflicts
with historical fact (Babylon’s empire lasted about 70 years, 609–539 BCE). In
summary, Jeremiah’s prophecy is about Babylon’s empire and Judah’s servitude
during that time, not a 70-year total desolation of Judah starting in 607 BCE.
The biblical context and historical timing (539 BCE end of Babylon) harmonize
perfectly with a 586/587 BCE fall of Jerusalem, not 607.
Response 3: Timing of
Babylon’s Judgment (Jeremiah 25:12)
JW Claim: “Babylon’s
punishment only began after the Jews returned in 537 BCE.” JWs argue that
Jeremiah 25:12 – which says Babylon would be punished after 70 years – means
Babylon’s judgment was delayed until 537 BCE, when the exile ended, thus
requiring Jerusalem’s destruction to be 607 BCE (70 years earlier).
Rebuttal: This claim
confuses Babylon’s political fall with later events. Jeremiah 25:12
states: “But when the seventy years are completed, I will punish the king of
Babylon and that nation…” The punishment for Babylon began when its 70
years of dominance ended. Historically, this occurred in 539 BCE,
when Cyrus the Persian conquered Babylon, toppling its king and empire. That exactly
fulfilled Jeremiah’s words: Babylon’s political power was broken “when
seventy years [of empire] were completed.” The Jews’ return to Judah in
538–537 BCE was a consequence of Babylon’s fall, not an event that
delayed Babylon’s punishment. The JW argument incorrectly shifts Babylon’s
judgment 2 years later without evidence, conflating the timeline. In reality, Babylon’s
“70 years” ended in 539 BCE with its defeat, and Cyrus’s decree freeing the
exiles came shortly thereafter (538 BCE).
Babylon’s downfall in 539 BCE is the prophesied judgment – immediately
after those 70 years – as confirmed by both Scripture and historical record.
There was no need to wait until 537 BCE for Babylon to be “punished,” since its
empire was already gone by then. Thus, this JW claim has the sequence
backwards: the end of the 70 years (Babylon’s fall) enabled the Jews’ return,
rather than the return marking Babylon’s fall. Jeremiah 25:12 fits the 539 BCE
fall of Babylon perfectly, leaving no biblical basis to insist on a 607 BCE
Jerusalem destruction.
Response 4: Evidence from
Josephus, Archaeology, and Astronomy
JW Claim: “Josephus,
archaeology, and astronomy indirectly support 607 BCE.” It is asserted that
these sources either align with a 70-year exile or can be interpreted to favor
the Watchtower’s 607 BCE chronology.
Rebuttal: In reality,
historical and scientific evidence overwhelmingly supports 586/587 BCE
as the year of Jerusalem’s destruction, and directly contradicts the 607 BCE
date. Consider the following evidence:
- Flavius Josephus (1st-century historian): Josephus explicitly records that Jerusalem’s
temple was destroyed in Nebuchadnezzar’s 18th regnal year (Flavius Josephus, Antiquities of the Jews, Book 10 -
Tufts University). This matches the Biblical account (Jerusalem
fell in Nebuchadnezzar’s 18th year by Babylonian reckoning, 19th year by
Judean reckoning). By secular chronology, Nebuchadnezzar’s 18th
year corresponds to 587 BCE. Thus, Josephus effectively places the
destruction around 587 BCE, not 607. (While Josephus elsewhere
mentions “70 years” of exile, he is simply reflecting the biblical 70-year
prophecy, which, as shown, doesn’t require a 607 date. He never puts the
fall as early as 607.)
- Archaeology: The
archaeological record in Judah unambiguously points to a major destruction
circa 586/587 BCE. Excavations at Jerusalem (e.g. the Lachish
Letters, destruction layers in the City of David and surrounds) and other
Judean sites show burn layers, debris, arrowheads, and Babylonian-era
artifacts dating to the late-7th century BCE – consistent with
Nebuchadnezzar’s campaign (Evidence of the 587/586 BCE Babylonian conquest of
Jerusalem found in Mount Zion excavation - Inside UNC Charlotte).
Notably, archaeologists identify only one massive Babylonian
destruction in this period, around 587 BCE (Evidence of the 587/586 BCE Babylonian conquest of
Jerusalem found in Mount Zion excavation - Inside UNC Charlotte).
There is no evidence of a separate destruction in 607 BCE, and
indeed no credible archaeologist advocates shifting the date by two
decades.
The Watchtower’s 607 BCE date would require erasing or relocating a
well-attested destruction stratum; such a move finds no support in
peer-reviewed archaeology. All material evidence – pottery typology,
carbon dating, siege weapon remains, Babylonian arrowheads, etc. – aligns
with the early 6th-century BCE (late 580s) conquest of Jerusalem (Evidence of the 587/586 BCE Babylonian conquest of
Jerusalem found in Mount Zion excavation - Inside UNC Charlotte),
corroborating the 586/587 BCE timeline.
- Astronomy (Babylonian Astronomical Tablets): Cuneiform tablets from Babylon provide precise
astronomical data that anchor Nebuchadnezzar’s reign to absolute
dates. The most famous is VAT 4956, an astronomical diary recording
planetary and lunar positions in Nebuchadnezzar’s 37th year. Modern
scholars (and even the Watchtower’s own publications) acknowledge that the
observations on VAT 4956 exactly match 568/567 BCE as
Nebuchadnezzar’s 37th year.
If Year 37 = 568 BCE, then Year 18 = 587 BCE (since 37 – 19 = 18,
and 568 + 19 = 587). This aligns perfectly with the accepted date of
Jerusalem’s fall.
JW apologists have tried to re-interpret VAT 4956 to fit 588 BCE as year
37, but professional astronomers have thoroughly refuted those
attempts as impossible. No published academic work supports the 588 BCE
reading. Additionally, the Babylonian Chronicle BM 21946 (the
“Jerusalem Chronicle”) documents Nebuchadnezzar’s early campaigns,
including the siege of Jerusalem in his 7th year (598–597 BCE), consistent
with standard chronology.
All astronomical and historical records place Nebuchadnezzar’s
reign and Jerusalem’s destruction exactly where secular history says –
with no room for an extra 20 years.
In summary, Josephus, archaeology, and astronomy all point to 586/587 BCE,
not 607 BCE. Far from supporting the JW date, these lines of evidence flatly
contradict it. The claim that they “indirectly” support 607 is false – they
directly support the mainstream chronology. In fact, no independent evidence
has ever been discovered that corroborates 607 BCE, whereas many lines of
evidence decisively support 586/587.
The Watchtower’s chronology stands alone, unsupported by the historical record.
Response 5: Nebuchadnezzar’s
“Missing Years” Myth
JW Claim: “What
about Nebuchadnezzar’s ‘missing years’ of madness? Could his reign have had an
unrecorded gap?” This argument hints that the Bible’s account of
Nebuchadnezzar’s period of madness (Daniel 4) might mean several years of his
reign were not recorded in Babylonian history, perhaps creating a 7-year or
even 20-year discrepancy that could support the 607 timeline.
Rebuttal: There are no
“missing years” in Nebuchadnezzar’s reign – not in the Bible and not in
Babylonian records. The book of Daniel does describe Nebuchadnezzar temporarily
losing his sanity (often interpreted as seven years of madness), but
importantly, Daniel never suggests that Nebuchadnezzar ceased to be king or
that his kingdom timeline paused (Daniel 4:36 says his kingdom was restored “and
still more greatness was added”). Babylonian historical sources show continuous
year-by-year documentation of Nebuchadnezzar’s 43-year reign (605–562 BCE)
with no gaps.
Thousands of dated economic tablets, administrative documents, and royal
inscriptions exist from Nebuchadnezzar’s rule; these are dated by the reigning
year of the king and they span every year up through his 43rd year. If
Nebuchadnezzar had been absent from power for a lengthy period (whether 7 years
or 20 years), we would see a break or co-regency in these dated records – but
we do not. In fact, business tablets are dated in an unbroken sequence from
Nebuchadnezzar’s first year through his 43rd, followed immediately by his son
Amel-Marduk’s first year. There is zero historical hint of any gap or
“missing” period that could accommodate extra years.
The JW idea of Nebuchadnezzar’s reign having unexplained extra years is entirely
baseless – it is not drawn from any ancient source, but invented to patch
the 20-year hole in the JW chronology. Even if Daniel’s account of madness is
taken literally as seven years, those years were part of Nebuchadnezzar’s
43-year reign (not additional to it). Babylonian chroniclers continued to date
documents by Nebuchadnezzar’s regnal years during that time, indicating the
kingdom still recognized him as king. In short, Nebuchadnezzar’s reign
length is firmly established by both biblical and secular data, and it does
not accommodate an extra 20 years. The claim of “missing years” is a myth
with no supporting evidence.
Response 6: Carl Olof
Jonsson’s Work and the Exile
JW Claim: “Carl
Olof Jonsson’s Gentile Times Reconsidered (GTR) book is flawed – he
supposedly ignored the issue of Judah’s exile and the 70 years, undermining his
conclusions.” The implication is that Jonsson (a former JW who wrote a seminal
critique of the 607 chronology) didn’t address the Biblical exile period,
therefore his analysis is incomplete or biased.
Rebuttal: This
characterization of Jonsson’s work is incorrect. In Gentile Times
Reconsidered, Jonsson extensively examines the 70-year period of Babylonian
domination, the exile, and the desolation of Judah in great detail. Far from
“ignoring” the exile, he integrates the biblical data with historical
evidence to demonstrate they are compatible with the 587 BCE date. Jonsson
shows that the 70 years are best understood as the period of Babylonian
supremacy (as per Jeremiah 25 and 29), during which Judah and surrounding
nations were subjugated. He discusses the duration of the exile of the Jews in
Babylon and the condition of Judah’s land during those decades, citing
Scripture (e.g. 2 Chronicles 36:20–23, Daniel 9:2) and historical sources.
Jonsson’s analysis concludes that the Jews’ exile in Babylon lasted
approximately 50 years (from the first deportation in 597 BCE or the
final destruction in 586 BCE, to the return in 538–537 BCE), and that this fits
within a broader 70-year period of Babylonian rule (609–539 BCE) as
described by Jeremiah. He did not “ignore” the exile; on the contrary, he addressed
it head-on and demonstrated that the biblical requirements (land resting,
exile duration, 70-year prophecy) harmonize with the historical timeline
The JW criticism of Jonsson here likely stems not from any actual omission
in his work, but from discomfort with his well-documented conclusions. Jonsson
painstakingly compiled evidence from ancient tablets, historical chronologies,
and scriptural exegesis to refute the 607 BCE date. Dismissing his scholarship
by claiming he “ignored” key issues is a straw man argument. Unless one
actually engages with the data he presented, such a claim only reveals a lack
of familiarity with his research or a deliberate misrepresentation of it. In
reality, Jonsson’s work remains one of the most thorough treatments of the
subject, and his conclusions supporting 586/587 BCE have stood up to scrutiny,
whereas the Watchtower’s 607 BCE has not.
Response 7: The 537 BCE Return
and Counting 70 Years
JW Claim: “The
Jews returned to Jerusalem in 537 BCE. Counting back 70 years from 537 BCE
gives 607 BCE exactly – proof that Jerusalem fell in 607.” JWs assert that
since they accept 537 BCE as the year the exiles returned (after Cyrus’s
decree), subtracting the prophesied 70 years yields 607 BCE for the
destruction, confirming their timeline.
Rebuttal: Simply
counting 70 years backward from 537 BCE is an artificial calculation
that does not match the actual historical and biblical timeline. First, it’s
important to note that the Bible does not explicitly say the Jews
returned in 537 BCE – this date is inferred from secular history combined with
biblical hints. What the Bible does state is that Cyrus’s decree freeing
the Jews occurred in Cyrus’s first year (Ezra 1:1–3), and
2 Chronicles 36:22–23 emphasizes this was “to fulfill the word of the
LORD by Jeremiah” at the end of 70 years (2 Chronicles 36:20-23 NIV - He carried into exile to Babylon
the - Bible Gateway). Cyrus’s first regnal year over Babylon began
in late 538 BCE (after he conquered Babylon in October 539). The Jews could
depart Babylon by 538 and resettle by 537 BCE, which JWs acknowledge.
However, nothing in Scripture insists on pegging the exact end of 70
years to the moment the Jews stepped back into Jerusalem in 537. Rather, the
biblical texts tie the end of the 70 years to Babylon’s fall and the rise of
the Persian Empire (i.e. 539–538 BCE) (2 Chronicles 36:20-23 NIV - He carried into exile to Babylon
the - Bible Gateway).
Historically, if Babylon fell in 539 BCE and Cyrus’s decree came in
538 BCE, then the 70 years are already complete by 538. Counting 70
years back from 538 BCE (the key turning point) brings us to about
608/609 BCE, which is precisely when Babylon’s rise began (the final defeat
of Assyria at Harran in 609 BCE). This aligns perfectly with Jeremiah’s
prophecy without any manipulation. The Watchtower’s chronology, by contrast, inserts
a two-year delay for which there is no evidence: they assert the 70 years
didn’t end until 537 BCE (for a round-number 70-year exile from 607).
Yet the Bible’s own chronology in 2 Chronicles 36:20-23 implies the land’s
70-year rest ended when Cyrus became king (i.e. by his first year) (2 Chronicles 36:20-23 NIV - He carried into exile to Babylon
the - Bible Gateway). There is no historical or scriptural reason
to demand that exactly 70 years elapsed between Jerusalem’s destruction and the
return of the exiles – that is a Watchtower assumption, not a biblical
statement. The Bible simply says 70 years of Babylonian domination would pass “for
Babylon”, after which Babylon falls and the Jews return (Jer. 29:10). That
is precisely what happened between ~609 BCE and 539–538 BCE.
In short, the 607-to-537 count is contrived. It starts from an
assumed end point (537) and works backward, ignoring that the actual
prophesied period ended in 539 with Babylon’s fall. When one starts at the
correct end point – Babylon’s collapse – 70 years earlier lands in the Daniel
describes Nebuchadnezzar’s madness as lasting “seven times,” often interpreted
as seven years, but the original Aramaic text (Daniel 4) and some scholars
suggest it could mean a complete period (not necessarily literal years).
Even if seven years, those were part of his reign, not additional years after
year 43.s late 7th century BCE (≈609), not 607. The bottom line: using 537 BCE
as the fixed end point is arbitrary. The biblical and historical end point
is 539/538 BCE, and that yields a completely different start date (about
609 BCE) which fits secular history much better. The neat “exactly 70 years”
counting back from 537 is a circular proof that assumes what it’s trying
to prove. Real history does not accommodate this two-year shift, so the JW
chronology inserts it purely to uphold doctrine.
Response 8: Multiple
Deportations and the Myth of a 70-Year Desolation
JW Claim: “Jeremiah
mentions multiple deportations (in 597 BCE, 586 BCE, 582 BCE, etc.), proving
that the exile lasted 70 years in total.” The argument suggests that
because exiles were taken at different times, one might stretch the period to
cover 70 years of Jewish captivity (perhaps from an earliest deportation to the
final return), and that this somehow supports a 607 BCE destruction and a
70-year complete desolation of the land.
Rebuttal: The mention
of multiple deportations in Jeremiah and Kings actually undermines
the idea of a total, 70-year desolation starting in 607 BCE. Here’s why: If
Jerusalem and Judah truly became completely empty and desolate in 607 BCE,
one would expect that to be a single, final event – with no one left to deport
afterward. However, the Bible itself records that even after the main
destruction of Jerusalem (in 586/587 BCE historically), people remained in
the land. The Babylonians appointed Gedaliah as governor over those who
stayed behind, and a significant population was still in Judah until Gedaliah’s
assassination (Jeremiah 40–41). In 582 BCE (Nebuchadnezzar’s 23rd year),
after quelling remaining unrest, the Babylonians took a final group of 745
Judeans into exile (Jeremiah 52:24 - 52:30 - Legacy Standard Bible).
Jeremiah 52:28-30 lists the deportations: ~3,023 Jews in the 7th year (597 BCE,
Jehoiachin’s exile), 832 people in Nebuchadnezzar’s 18th year (586 BCE,
destruction of Jerusalem), and 745 people in his 23rd year (582 BCE) (Jeremiah 52:24 - 52:30 - Legacy Standard Bible). Total:
4,600 people exiled over that period. This record makes it clear that Judah was
not emptied all at once in 607 BCE – rather, the complete exile was a process
over nearly 20 years (597 to 582 BCE).
What do these data tell us? They fit the conventional timeline:
Jerusalem’s initial surrender and first exile of nobles was 597 BCE; the city’s
destruction and major depopulation was 586 BCE; a final mop-up exile occurred
in 582 BCE. At that point “Judah went into exile from its land” fully (Jeremiah 52:24 - 52:30 - Legacy Standard Bible).
Thereafter, the land truly lay desolate, until the exiles returned about 45
years later (538–537 BCE). There is no 70-year absolute desolation
indicated. Instead, the land was progressively depopulated and then lay fallow
for roughly 50 years (not 70). JWs, by insisting on a 607 BCE
destruction to get 70 years of desolation, must ignore that the Bible itself
says a sizeable population was still in Judah after 607 (down to 582 BCE).
In other words, Jeremiah’s multiple deportations flatly contradict the idea
that Judah was completely desolate starting in 607.
They actually reinforce the historical reality that Jerusalem’s destruction
occurred around 586/587 BCE and that the exile was a complex event, not
a single date that can be neatly pegged to 607.
In summary, the deportations were multiple events that align with a 587 BCE
destruction followed by further removals, and they do not support a 607
timeline. The prophecy of “70 years” is satisfied by 70 years of Babylonian
rule, not 70 years of an empty Judah. By misapplying that prophecy to a supposed
70-year desolation, the JW argument ends up contradicting the very biblical
record of what happened after Jerusalem’s fall. The evidence shows some Jews
were still being exiled 25 years after 607 BCE – an untenable scenario
if 607 were truly the start of a 70-year complete exile.
Response 9: The Year 609 BCE
in Historical Records
JW Claim: “609 BCE
is just an arbitrary date modern scholars invented.” The suggestion is that
secular historians “inserted” 609 BCE to make their chronology work,
implying that it’s not a real, documented date like 607 BCE supposedly is.
Rebuttal: The year 609 BCE
is firmly rooted in ancient historical records, not an arbitrary modern
invention. Multiple cuneiform documents from Babylonia chronicle the events of
that year in detail. For example, the Babylonian Chronicle of Nabopolassar
(also known as ABC 3, published by scholar A.K. Grayson) covers the years 616–609 BCE
and describes the final campaigns against the Assyrian Empire (BABYLONIAN CHRONICLES – Encyclopaedia Iranica).
In 609 BCE specifically, it records the Babylonian and Median forces besieging Harran,
the last stronghold of Assyrian remnants, and the involvement of the Egyptian
army under Pharaoh Necho II. These chronicles (often referred to in academic
literature as ABC 3, 4, 5, etc.) are contemporary clay tablets that give
year-by-year accounts of Babylonian kings. They explicitly date events
to Nebuchadnezzar’s predecessors and to Nebuchadnezzar’s own reign using the
Babylonian calendar – there’s nothing “modern” or “interpolated” about these
dates.
For instance, Assyria’s final defeat and the shifting of Near Eastern power is
recorded around 609 BCE, marking the true beginning of Babylon’s uncontested
rule.
Far from being an “arbitrary” modern construct, 609 BCE emerges from a synthesis
of many ancient sources: Babylonian chronicles, Egyptian records (Pharaoh
Necho’s campaign is recorded in the Bible as well, at 2 Kings 23:29), and later
historians’ accounts (e.g. Berossus). The reason 609 BCE is important is that
it marks the end of Assyrian dominance and the rise of Babylon –
aligning with the prophecy that “these nations will serve the king of Babylon
70 years.” Counting from 609 BCE (when Babylon’s king effectively became “the
one to serve”) to 539 BCE (Babylon’s fall) gives 70 years. Scholars did not invent
609; they derived it from the evidence. On the other hand, 607 BCE is not
recorded in any ancient text as the year Jerusalem fell – it’s arrived at
only by JW interpretation. Every ancient source that touches on the timing
(Babylonian chronicles, Biblical texts, Josephus, Babylonian king lists, etc.)
indicates a timeline consistent with 587 BCE for Jerusalem’s destruction and
acknowledges events in 609 BCE (Assyria’s fall) as a key reference point. Thus,
the claim that 609 is an “arbitrary interpolation” ignores the wealth of
historical documentation from that era.
It is 607 BCE, rather, that stands isolated from the data.
In summary, 609 BCE is a well-attested historical year marking
Babylon’s ascent, whereas 607 BCE is a contrived date unsupported by
direct evidence. Any argument that scholars simply “invented” 609 to undermine
607 is a reversal of reality: historians work from ancient evidence, and that
evidence simply does not support a 607 BCE destruction.
Response 10: Scholarly
Consensus vs. the Gentile Times Doctrine
JW Claim: “Our
607 BCE chronology and the related ‘Gentile Times’ doctrine (leading to
1914 CE) withstand all scholarly criticism.” In other words, JWs assert
that no matter what historians, archaeologists, or astronomers say, their
interpretation is sound and even supported by some scholarship, and that their
calculation of 2520 years from 607 BCE to 1914 CE (the Gentile Times) is on
solid ground.
Rebuttal: This claim
does not hold up under scrutiny. In reality, no competent historian,
archaeologist, or astronomer accepts 607 BCE as the date for Jerusalem’s
fall.
The consensus that the city fell in 586 or 587 BCE is nearly universal, backed
by a mountain of evidence from various disciplines. Over the past
century, the Watchtower Society’s 607 BCE date has been repeatedly examined and
found wanting by experts – not out of bias against JWs, but because the
evidence for the late 7th-century destruction is overwhelming. Key historical
records (Babylonian chronicles, king lists, business tablets) and scientific
data (astronomical observations like VAT 4956, eclipse records, etc.)
all align together. To accept 607 BCE, one must propose that all these
independent sources are wrong by the same 20-year margin – an
extraordinarily implausible scenario. JWs have attempted to defend 607 by
selectively quoting out-of-context statements and by proposing unusual
interpretations (for example, claiming scribal errors on astronomical tablets
or appealing to biblical prophecy as override). However, those defenses have
not convinced the scholarly community, nor have they produced any positive
evidence for 607.
The “Gentile Times” doctrine, which hinges on 607 BCE, further underscores
what’s at stake. This doctrine interprets the “seven times” of Daniel 4 as 7
prophetic years (360 days each) = 2520 years, running from Jerusalem’s fall to
the start of Christ’s kingdom rule. Using 607 BCE as the start, JWs arrive at
1914 CE for the end of the Gentile Times. But if the starting date is wrong,
the entire calculation collapses. Historians and biblical scholars outside the
JW community do not support this 2520-year calculation – it’s unique to
Adventist and JW tradition. In fact, the “Gentile Times” as 2520 years is not a
concept found in scholarly exegesis; it was introduced by 19th-century Bible
speculators and later adopted by JWs. Therefore, when 607 BCE is proven wrong,
the 1914 doctrine loses its foundation. And 607 BCE has been disproven
by converging evidence: Babylonian documents, biblical chronological details,
and scientific dating all point to 587 BCE. As a result, 1914 becomes a date
with no biblical chronological backing (even if one still respects 1914
for historical reasons, it cannot be arrived at via “seven times” from 607).
In summary, the JW chronology has not withstood scholarly criticism
– it has been overwhelmed by it. The scholarly consensus
(including devout Christian historians) places Jerusalem’s destruction in
586/587 BCE. There isn’t a single piece of actual evidence that requires
607 BCE, whereas there are numerous lines of evidence that flatly contradict it.
Since the Watchtower’s 1914 prophecy is solely dependent on 607, the collapse
of 607 BCE as a credible date means the Gentile Times doctrine is built on
sand. It is telling that no peer-reviewed historical journal and no
standard reference work on ancient history validates the 607 BCE date – it
survives only in insular publications. True scholarship invites verification
and critique; by that standard, the JW 607/1914 framework fails, as it cannot
be reconciled with established historical facts.
One Line of Evidence that
Disproves 607 BCE
Finally, you challenge: “Provide one line of evidence
disproving 607 BCE.” The implication is that critics have no single clear
proof against 607. In reality, there are multiple powerful lines of evidence,
but one in particular is often singled out by historians for its precision:
Astronomical Tablet VAT 4956: This cuneiform tablet is a diary of astronomical observations from
Babylon. It specifically logs the positions of the moon and planets in the 37th
year of Nebuchadnezzar II. Modern analysis (confirmed by scholars like
Sachs and Hunger) shows the recorded sky alignments correspond exactly to the
year 568/567 BCE.
For example, it notes specific lunar phases near certain stars and conjunctions
of planets on particular dates – calculations show these phenomena occurred in
568 BCE. If Nebuchadnezzar’s 37th year was 568 BCE, then counting backward:
his 18th year was 587 BCE. This is simple arithmetic and does not depend on
any hypothesis – it’s an observational fact recorded by ancient
astronomers. The date 587 BCE for Jerusalem’s fall follows directly.
Thus, VAT 4956 alone conclusively disproves 607 BCE. If JWs were correct,
Nebuchadnezzar’s 37th year would have to be 588 BCE (19 years earlier), but the
sky in 588 BCE did not match the tablet – it’s not even close on many
critical observations, meaning the tablet cannot be referring to 588. The
568 BCE match is essentially one-in-a-million in its precision, leaving no
doubt about the chronology.
All major scholars and institutions (e.g., Otto Neugebauer, Abraham Sachs,
Hermann Hunger) agree that the astronomical data on VAT 4956 corresponds
only to the year 568/567 BCE. This is confirmed by:
- Lunar Eclipse: The eclipse
described on the tablet occurred on July 4, 568 BCE (Julian calendar). While a
superficial match for a similar eclipse exists in 588 BCE (July 15), this
single similarity does not suffice to date the entire tablet.
- Full Dataset Match: All 13 sets of lunar
positions and 15 planetary positions align uniquely with the year 568/567 BCE.
These data points include conjunctions, angular separations, and appearances,
which are extraordinarily specific and not repeatable on a 20-year cycle due to
lunar-solar planetary variances.
The Watchtower has claimed, notably in their Watchtower 2011
article and in their timeline arguments, that many of the lunar positions fit
588 BCE better than 568. However, as shown in Jacob Halsey’s letter (March 3, 2018)—which
was sent directly to the Watch Tower Society and later published—we find the
opposite.
Halsey used Starry Night Pro Plus astronomy software with
accurate Babylonian coordinates to test the tablet’s observations. His findings
include:
- Obv. 3 (Nisanu 9, May 10/11): While the angular
separation numerically appears close in 588 BCE, the moon is
visibly behind β Virginis, not in front as the tablet
says. The claim of an “exact match” fails under visual verification.
- Obv. 14 (Simanu 5, July 4): Supposed “excellent
match” in 588 BCE fails since the moon is 5–6 degrees behind the star, not 1
cubit (2.2°) above/below. This fails both textually and observationally.
- Obv. 15 (Simanu 8, July 7): Angular separation
in 588 BCE is nearly twice the described amount; moon is in front, not below
the star as the tablet says.
- Rev. 5 (Šabātu 1, Feb. 21/22): Moon isn’t
even visible on this date in 588 BCE, invalidating the claim
that a new month began or that an appearance was seen in Pisces.
- Rev. 14/15 (Addaru 7, Mar. 29/30): While α Leonis is
28° from the moon, it is behind, not below. The claimed “fold”
(halo) does not align with the constellation positions, making this an
extremely weak candidate.
Conclusion: Even the best “matches” from the 588 BCE attempt contradict
the descriptions in the tablet. Scholars like Sachs and Hunger already
addressed minor discrepancies in 568 BCE as likely scribal approximations. That
is far more plausible than rewriting the entire chronology.
Jehovah’s Witnesses argue that since a lunar eclipse also occurred in 588
BCE, it could be the one mentioned. However, lunar eclipses alone are
insufficient for dating, and lunar positions (based on the moon’s complex
orbital path) do not repeat in a clean 20-year cycle.Additionally, planetary
positions (like Jupiter’s and Saturn’s) are even more irregular and
inconsistent across decades. 13 lunar + 15 planetary + 8 solar-moon
intervals matching 568 and not 588 completely
disqualifies the 588 claim.
The Watchtower’s claim that 607 BCE is supported by VAT 4956 collapses
under scrutiny:
- It cherry-picks a single eclipse while ignoring
contradictory data.
- It relies on falsified “better matches”, which astronomers
have disproven.
- It inserts theological necessity (to maintain the
1914 doctrine) into scientific data.
As noted in the Halsey letter, multiple observations from 588 BCE do
not match the stated lunar or angular data. This aligns with
professional evaluations by Sachs, Hunger, and even conservative evangelical
scholars who accept 586/587 BCE as the fall of Jerusalem.
Why does this matter so much to JWs? Because if Nebuchadnezzar’s 37th year
was in 568 BCE, then his 18th year (when Jerusalem fell)
was 587 BCE, not 607. And that destroys the keystone of Watchtower
chronology—the start of the “Gentile Times” and the arrival at 1914.
Thus, Watchtower defenders have tried to:
- Insert “missing 7 years” into
Nebuchadnezzar’s reign (without evidence).
- Deny the accuracy of secular
chronologies (Ptolemy, Berossus, BM tablets).
- Reinterpret astronomical data contrary
to observable science.
This is just one example. We could also point to the Babylonian
Chronicle BM 21946, which directly dates Nebuchadnezzar’s 7th year to
598 BCE (and his 8th to 597 BCE when he captured Jerusalem the first time) –
again confirming the conventional timeline. Or the Uruk King List and Ptolemy’s
Canon, ancient sources that list the lengths of Babylonian kings’ reigns,
which align perfectly with Nebuchadnezzar reigning 43 years from 605–562 BCE
(leaving no room for an extra 20 years). But since only “one line” was
asked for, VAT 4956 serves as that definitive line of evidence. It is a
single artifact that single-handedly fixes Nebuchadnezzar’s reign and debunks
the 607 BCE claim.
To date, no JW publication or apologist has been able to refute the actual
data on VAT 4956 – at best, they claim a few points of the text could be
scribal errors or ambiguities, but even with generous allowances, the overall
alignment with 568 BCE is undeniable, and alternative dates (like 588) fail. In
scholarly circles, VAT 4956 is considered ironclad proof of the
established chronology.
So, contrary to the claim that critics “cannot produce one line of
evidence,” we have produced one – and indeed there are many more. The challenge
has been met: VAT 4956 (and the entire corpus of Babylonian astronomical
diaries) stands as a clear, empirical falsification of the 607 BCE date.
Conclusion
In reviewing each of the JW’s ten arguments, we find that they rely on misreading
scripture, ignoring historical context, selective use of sources, and
unsupported conjectures. By contrast, the rebuttals above have presented solid
evidence at every turn – biblical, historical, archaeological, and
astronomical – all of which consistently point to Jerusalem’s destruction
occurring around 586/587 BCE. This conclusion is not drawn from a
secular bias or “worldly wisdom,” but from respect for facts: the
Bible’s own contextual clues, the records of contemporaries (like the
Babylonians), and the analysis of later historians and scientists.
The Watchtower Society’s insistence on 607 BCE, in service of its 1914
Gentile Times doctrine, has unfortunately led sincere people to defend an
indefensible date. As shown, multiple lines of evidence decisively disprove
607 BCE. It is not a matter of “lacking one line of evidence” – we have an
abundance of evidence, and even one of those lines (the astronomical data, for
example) is enough on its own to unravel the 607 claim. When all the evidence
is weighed, the 20-year gap required by the JW chronology finds no
support.
In a respectful dialogue, we must follow the evidence wherever it leads.
Here it leads to the conclusion that the Babylonian conquest of Jerusalem
occurred in 587 BCE (some say 586 depending on calendrical details), and
that the “70 years” in prophecy are best understood in context as a
period of Babylonian dominance and Jewish exile ending with Babylon’s fall
in 539 BCE. All critical evidence aligns with this understanding.
The Watchtower interpretation, however well-intentioned, is shown to be flawed
and historically untenable.
Ultimately, truth should be the goal. The facts presented are clear:
Jerusalem was not destroyed in 607 BCE, and claiming otherwise means dismissing
a vast body of scholarly work and physical evidence. It is hoped that this
point-by-point rebuttal helps set the record straight and encourages a
re-examination of the 607 BCE doctrine in the light of Scripture and
documented history. The strength of the truth is that it can face the evidence
without fear – and in this case, the evidence against 607 BCE is overwhelming,
while the evidence for 586/587 BCE is robust, uncontradicted, and endorsed by essentially
all experts in the field.