Hi Bad Willie,
Religions are normally quite resilient to total disintegration. There are too many built in fail-safe systems they can fall back on and blame for scandals can easily be put off as “human imperfection”, a “test” or blame it on the apostates. The screw-ups with prophetic disconfirmations is a bit more troublesome but the WTS has shed these off like water on a duck. We have seen gross scandals in the past that ranged from economic fraud on a large scale (i.e. India) to homosexual scandals at Bethel. It is all the water under the bridge now…the great transnational corporation keeps plugging along.
The growth of Jehovah’s Witnesses is cyclic. They have been in a downward cycle for several years but are now heading up the cycle (roughly the cycle matches the sunspot cycle as per some other religions) but will go down in the opposite direction in due time.
Things that will have a more dramatic effect on their growth in my personal opinion won’t be the standard set of problems they have faced in the past, but new problems. Problems they are ill equipped to handle. The Internet is one example of this but even greater future problems await them. One example of the new problems is the increasing density of information. This doesn’t sound much like a problem but consider this…the WTS is its own worst enemy. Their own publications can stumble someone more than any scandal can, but most people are not aware of all this and it takes a skilled person now to go and find all the sources, even with the Internet. In some years, radical new changes in information technology, including the ability to compress entire encyclopedic volumes of information in a text format similar to this: 4983f8434h38d04 (using new Godelian prime factorization mathematics) will enable any Watchtower “opposer” to instantly transfer everything the WTS has ever printed to anyone, and have it indexed so the interested person can immediately find any reference to the WTS hall of shame.
What will be even more damning for them will be “KNOWBOTS” which are now only in their early evolutionary stages, but these will be the next “Killer Application” that will shake the computer world and they are artificial intelligence agents that we can speak to plainly by voice and they will be able to quickly answer nearly any question we care to ask them. Indeed they will eventually become indispensable to the First World because most of us won’t be able to understand the rapid technological changes happening all around us. They will be our friends who are the learned college professor and when we ask them about the validity of Jehovah’s Witnesses having the truth…we are going to hear a lot of laughing.
Kind Regards,
Skipper