Very well written and logically based original post Listener, thank you for taking the time to write that out.
Two things I am still puzzled over though,
1) The letter read at the special elders meeting last Jan. (2014) detailing a ramped up building work.
What could have happened since that point? If not "something happened", then something they became aware since that letter that happened earlier?
2) The look, attitude, demeanor of Anthony Morris on that morning worship video a month ago.
He looked and acted devastated. He was incapable of hiding it. What had he just become aware of?
So it may very well be what you stated. But how, with all the accountants and quarterly reports etc did they believe they were poised to ramp up hugely?
How could they have thought that? Because the letter (in order to be read in January) had to have been composed about this time last year.