Reservations

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Posts by Reservations

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  169

  Are the statistics out yet?

  by slimboyfat in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  isn’t it about time they released the report for the service year?

  or have they stopped publishing it?

  did they released selected figures at the annual meeting as they usually do, such as the memorial attendance or record number of pioneers?

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  Reservations

  I refer to “the old guard” dying off in the next 10/15 years.

  I, along with everyone else, can only report what we see first hand. And in my circuit(s) where I live, at least 70-75% are over 65.

  The mass die off coupled with the fact that members are not being recruited from the “field” like they used to is a sure sign it will be in decline.

  In 1986 the 5 year attrition rate was 0.19

  In 2022 the 5 year attrition rate is 0.86

  This is evidence that they are not recruiting like they used to, and those “old guard” who were around in 1981 are hitting their 70s now.

  So I’m sticking with my 10/15 year prediction. Earliest I would say is start of the 2030s.

  Evidence shows that many left after 1975, but they recovered in the 80s and 90s with strong baptism numbers. Early figures show they are loosing the same amount, but are not being replaced with new baptisms.
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  169

  Are the statistics out yet?

  by slimboyfat in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  isn’t it about time they released the report for the service year?

  or have they stopped publishing it?

  did they released selected figures at the annual meeting as they usually do, such as the memorial attendance or record number of pioneers?

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  2. 
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  Reservations

  I don’t think they will ever stop the year report.

  It was very bad after the 1975 fallout, they recovered, i suspect they believe they will recover again.

  The current 3 year attrition rate is 0.92

  The current 5 year attrition rate is 0.86

  The only time the 3 year rate was above 1 was 1979.

  The 5 year rate also in 1979 was 0.95.

  Figures show we aren’t in 1975 fallout territory. Yet.

  Give it 10/15 years when the old guard die off, and the kids who are only hanging on for their parents (who have died) leave, THEN you will see the real decline. It will make the 1975 fallout look like a walk in the park.
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  23

  2022 WTS Numbers

  by blondie in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  2022 grand totals.

  branches of jehovah’s witnesses: 86. .

  number of lands reporting: 239. .

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  Reservations

  Only 2.5% of Bible studies got baptised.

  How many of those 97.5% of Bible studies will stick it out to baptism?

  The attrition rate was 0.85. Only until that rate is over 1 average for a 5 year period, IMHO we can’t honestly say this organisation is in decline.
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  169

  Are the statistics out yet?

  by slimboyfat in

  1. watchtower
  2. beliefs

  isn’t it about time they released the report for the service year?

  or have they stopped publishing it?

  did they released selected figures at the annual meeting as they usually do, such as the memorial attendance or record number of pioneers?

  1. 
  2. 
  3. 
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  Reservations

  1,144,549 persons baptised in a 5 year period from 2017 - 2022

  154,389 publisher increase in the same 5 year period

  990,160 total MIA From 2017 - 2022
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  8

  Sarah Kellen - Victim or Vixen?

  by Sea Breeze in

  1. watchtower
  2. scandals

  sarah kellen has been described as jeffery epstein's 'lieutenant' for allegedly sourcing and booking girls for 'massages'.. kellen’s [jehovah's witness] parents said they knew almost nothing about what their daughter’s duties involved because they became estranged from her at around the time she took the job with epstein when she was aged 18 or 19.. the split with her family came after kellen was thrown out of the church for allegedly leading an “immoral” lifestyle:.

  sarah’s parents told the daily mail they love her and would welcome her back as long as she rejoins the church and shows them she’s committed to the faith.. so, is she a victim or a sly fox?.

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  Reservations

  No wonder she got kicked out, what a piece of shit. The narrative that leaving the watchtower drives people to do heinous things due to not having family support is ridiculous.
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  11530

  It's been a long 9 years Lloyd Evans / John Cedars

  by Newly Enlightened in

  1. watchtower
  2. scandals

  original reddit post (removed).

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  Reservations

  I wouldn’t be surprised if his wife Dijana ends up going back to the organisation with her 2 kids.

  Now THAT would be a kick in the teeth wouldn’t it Lloyd.

  Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.
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  27

  4 New GB Helpers

  by Reservations in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  apparently 4 new gb helpers as per reddit.

  1) paul gillies.

  2) johnathan smith.

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  Reservations

  Apparently 4 New GB Helpers as per Reddit

  1) Paul Gillies

  2) Johnathan Smith

  2 others names not yet known.

  Apparently Gillies is now partaking, he’ll be GB within 3 years.
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  12

  World War 3

  by Reservations in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  i’m calling it folks, world war 3 looks like it’s a done deal.. belarus has entered ukraine, and nato is involved heavily, just not “boots on the ground”.. will there be a nuclear exchange?

  i would have said no 5 days ago, now i’m not so sure.. how will this effect wt?

  probably more of the same fear mongering..

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  Reservations

  I do miss that feeling of being 100% sure Gods kingdom will step in before nukes or ww3 started. It was a comfort blanket.

  Now realising it has nothing to do with “God”, nothing is off the table.

  I do think if Russia used a tactical nuke, the west would not retaliate.

  I also have a feeling of Russia attacks a NATO country, although in the nato constitution it says they have to all come to their aid, I also think there won’t be a retaliation.

  The fear for MAD (mutually assured destruction) is real and sadly I feel Russia can and will do as they please, nukes and all.
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  12

  World War 3

  by Reservations in

  1. jw
  2. friends

  i’m calling it folks, world war 3 looks like it’s a done deal.. belarus has entered ukraine, and nato is involved heavily, just not “boots on the ground”.. will there be a nuclear exchange?

  i would have said no 5 days ago, now i’m not so sure.. how will this effect wt?

  probably more of the same fear mongering..

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  Reservations

  I’m calling it folks, World War 3 looks like it’s a done deal.

  Belarus has entered Ukraine, and NATO is involved heavily, just not “boots on the ground”.

  Will there be a nuclear exchange? I would have said no 5 days ago, now I’m not so sure.

  How will this effect WT? Probably more of the same fear mongering.
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  11530

  It's been a long 9 years Lloyd Evans / John Cedars

  by Newly Enlightened in

  1. watchtower
  2. scandals

  original reddit post (removed).

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  Reservations

  If Lloyd had 950 Patreon followers before the “crisis”, he now has 735.

  Thats a 22% decrease just this month.

  I suspect many patron followers are waiting for their chance to speak with him personally on one of his exclusive member only chats, say their piece to his face and then cancel. Maybe he will be more apologetic and grovel to his patrons, but based on his track record I highly doubt it.