Here's the link to an earlier thread I started about the drop in the number of elders. There were some interesting comments on this one.
http://www.jehovahs-witness.com/6/127758/1.ashxz
WT Wizard mentioned the possibility that JWs might "seize control of all knowledge," with dire results. Not sure what alternate universe you live in, WTW, but this is so far from possiblity as to be laughable. There is little hope in this day of such incredible access to information of ANY organization seizing control of all knowledge, very least of all JWs. JWs are a footnote in today's culture, and they have essentially NO POWER over anything, very least of all "knowledge."
Someone mentioned the possibility of a scandal involving pedophilia by a GB member. That already happened. Leo Greenlees was dismissed from the GB, and its been common knowlege on this site, backed up by similar information I've heard seperately from a former Bethelite who is still an active JW elder, that Greenlees was dismissed for sexually abusing a young boy in a California congregation. Greenlees was not disfellowshipped, and the matter was kept completely hushed up. The average Witness has NO idea about this. I'm sure someone can find a link to those threads.
Zico wrote that the Witnesses were still seeing an increase. I think that point was well answered in the thread. Thanks. Growth is pretty much limited to third world countries and foreign language immigrant groups in the first world countries. Education and wider access to the Internet will continue to have an impact there. Growth in North America, Europe, Japan, Korea and Australia has been stagnant or declining for about a decade. I've long asserted on these boards, and I stand by it, that the WTS decline began in the mid-1990s.
Wednesday mentioned money as a factor, and that may be a huge one. I would guess that the donation system is not very lucrative. Magazines and especially books are being printed incredibly cheaply. Bethel has seen a huge downsizing over the last year or so. Very valuable waterfront properties in Brooklyn Heights are being sold for amazing sums of money, but that's only a stopgap measure. I would assume the WTS is worth billions when property is taken into consideration (at one time I think they owned over 30 buildings in the Heights area, which would be worth a fortune), but that can be used up quickly, especially if they are paying out millions to hush up these pedophilia lawsuits.
I agree with those who forsee a long, but sad decline among the Witnesses. I'm sure my ex-wife will experience that, and my JW daughter. I just am really trying to make sure they don't allow my 10-year-old granddaughter to get baptized anytime soon. I don't want to see her be a part of that decline. She's far too bright and creative.
Arthur, good points. I have to agree. My ex-father and mother in law have brought hundreds of people into the "truth," but I can assure you that they could not for one minute defend the Witness teachings before anyone with a modicum of scientific background, and certainly not against anyone with a decent knowledge of JW history. Neither could my ex-wife or my daughter. My JW son-in-law already knows it's all shit, but is so mentally unprepared for anything else he sees it as his only resource and way out. But then he's a JW alcoholic...
I remember when I was starting to see that the Witnesses were not what they claimed to be. I'd stepped down as an elder, and about a year later or so the other elders and eventually the CO began to see that I was really on my way out. I'd been one of the most studious and best prepared elders, and I wondered how well these other elders and traveling brothers would do in answering the questions that I was dealing with.
This is the absolute truth of the matter: The points the elders and COs used in answering my questions were exactly the same ones I'd used for years, and those points had really been the starting points from where I'd gone in examining the Witnesses' teachings, science, etc. They presented absolutely nothing new for me, not one new idea, not one point that I hadn't already examined and torn to shreds. They were so pathetic, there were times that I was inclined to take over their side of the discussion and at least give myself something worth arguing against.
There I was with the elite that the JWs had to offer, and it was sadly lacking. As Arthur said, the typical JW, and even the un-typical, above average JW elder, cannot begin to reason scripturally, logically, reasonably or scientifically on anything of genuine substance that questions JW teachings.
S4