The formatting may suck but the article is still good.
Poverty & Public Policy
www.psocommons.org/ppp
Vol. 2: Iss. 4 Article 8 (2010)
The U. S. System of Social Security:
Emphatically Not a Ponzi Scheme
Max J. Skidmore,
University of Missouri-Kansas City
Abstract
This article, written by
PPP Editor-In-Chief Max J. Skidmore, references
information from his and others' research, including quoted information taken from
the Security and Exchange Commission’s own website to disassociate the U.S.
Social Security System from recent allegations that it is a kind of Ponzi or
"Pyramid" scheme. It is pointed out that social insurance, unlike Ponzi programs,
offers sustainable revenues for contributing patrons and not get-rich-quick scenarios.
Keywords:
Social Security, Ponzi scheme, pyramid scheme, social insurance
Recommended Citation:
Skidmore, Max J. (2010) “The U. S. System of Social Security: Emphatically Not a
Ponzi Scheme,”
Vol. 2: Iss. 4, Article 8.
DOI:
10.2202/1944-2858.1138
Available at:
- 161 -
© 2010 Policy Studies Organization
Published by Berkeley Electronic Press
A “Ponzi scheme” takes its name from a pyramid plan in 1920 that
its originator, an Italian immigrant to the United States, Carlo (or “Charles”)
Ponzi, promised would pay huge returns to investors. They could double
their money, he told them, in 90 days. Profits to the early investors came
from amounts paid in by subsequent investors, but the promised returns were
so great that paying each wave of investors required a geometric increase in
the number of investors in the next wave. If every investor remained in the
scheme, the successive requirements for new investors to keep the system
going would fairly quickly exceed the population of the earth. Obviously,
this is unsustainable. Ponzi schemes inevitably collapse. As the Securities
and Exchange Commission of the United States explains on its website:
In the classic “pyramid” scheme, participants attempt to make
money solely by recruiting new participants into the program. The hallmark
of these schemes is the promise of sky-high returns in a short period of time
for doing nothing other than handing over your money and getting others to
do the same.
1
When the promoter of the scheme can no longer find the enormous
number of new investors required to keep it going, the scheme collapses.
The collapse is not only inevitable, but comes rapidly. Social insurance bears
no relation to pyramid, or Ponzi, schemes. “The first modern social
insurance program began in Germany in 1889 and has been in continuous
operation for more than 100 years. The American Social Security system has
been in continuous successful operation since 1935. Charles Ponzi’s scheme
lasted barely 200 days.”
As I make clear in
not a Ponzi, or pyramid, scheme; it bears no resemblance to one.”
Social Security does not promise great riches, and in fact is not an investment
scheme at all. All participants benefit. Even the unusual person with no
dependents who dies before retirement without ever having become disabled
has received a measure of protection from disability insurance. This person
may also have benefited indirectly by not having to support elderly relatives
who are independent because of Social Security. The situation of such a
person is similar to that of the homeowner who has fire insurance but never
1
Securities and Exchange Commission, “Pyramid Schemes,”
http://www.sec.gov/answers/pyramid.htm (accessed October 12, 2010).
2
Larry DeWitt, “Ponzi Schemes vs. Social Security,” Research Notes and Special
Studies by the Historian’s Office, Social Security Administration, Research Note #25,
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/ponzi.htm (accessed October 12, 2010).
3
Max J. Skidmore,
Securing America ’
s Future: A Bold Plan to Preserve and Expand
Social Security
(Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 2008), Appendix C: “Social
Security and Ponzi Schemes.”
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DOI: 10.2202/1944-2858.1138
has a house fire; that homeowner has benefited from the insurance coverage,
and is hardly likely to consider it unfortunate that his house didn’t burn.
Social Security does not encourage risk, and certainly does not benefit a
manipulator. In fact, it “turns the notion of a Ponzi scheme upside down;
instead of impoverishing all but a few, for nearly three-quarters of a century
it has provided extensive benefits to virtually the entire population.”
No Ponzi scheme can survive for an extended period, and none can pay benefits
to all who participate—or even to more than a very few of them. All
participants in a Ponzi scheme lose their investments, except for the initial
handful of investors (and, of course, the promoter).
Why, then, have there been so many allegations in recent years to
the contrary? People may be misled by failure to understand pyramid
schemes. It is true that they promise to pay returns to early investors from
the amounts paid in by other investors, and Social Security also pays
benefits from amounts paid in by other contributors. Ponzi schemes, though,
promise huge returns on investments and thus require a geometric increase
of new investors, which is impossible. Social Security, in contrast, is
essentially a transfer program from one group to another, and requires no
increases in the number of new participants, let alone an unsustainable
geometric increase. In fact, every society throughout humanity’s existence
has had some arrangement for supporting those who are too young or too old
to work, and that support has come from workers. Modern societies have
arranged to do it with great efficiency through the social insurance
mechanism.
There is more involved here, however, than simple
misunderstanding, or ignorance. There have been deliberate attempts to
mislead the public, in order to undermine confidence in Social Security.
Take comments by the late economist, Milton Friedman, for example. He
frequently hinted, and sometimes actually said, that Social Security is a
Ponzi scheme.
5
One can be reasonably certain that he knew better, since he
was a Nobel laureate in economics and undoubtedly understood what a
Ponzi scheme actually is. Similarly, Social Security’s opponents have
pointed to comments by another Nobel laureate in economics, Paul
Samuelson, who remarked in 1967 that Social Security was a Ponzi scheme,
but one that worked. What the critics miss is that Samuelson, who was
known for witty remarks, and who knew full well that Ponzi schemes cannot
4
5
January 11,
1999, op. ed.
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Skidmore: The U. S. System of Social Security: Emphatically Not a Ponzi Scheme
© 2010 Policy Studies Organization
Published by Berkeley Electronic Press
work, was joking. He also once quipped that economists had predicted nine
of the past five recessions.
But this does not explain why there is opposition to social insurance.
To begin to understand, we must look at what Social Security is and does,
and at the political ideologies that it reflects—and offends.
The American Social Security program, based on legislation enacted
in 1935 as part of the “New Deal” of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, has
operated efficiently and economically since its first regular benefits were
issued in 1940. During these 70 years Social Security has become an integral
part of the fabric of American life, and is probably the most popular
government program in the country’s history. Without fail, the system
provides retirement benefits to workers who have worked within the system,
with additional benefits for their spouses and minor dependents. Benefits
also include payments to surviving dependents of deceased wage earners and
beneficiaries. Moreover, for more than half a century the system has
provided disability benefits as well.
Another fact that is too easy to overlook is that Social Security not
only enables enormous numbers of retirees and others to live independently,
but as it does so it ensures that inflation will not erode its benefits, as is
likely to happen with income from private investments. In other words,
benefits from Social Security retain their purchasing power, regardless of
what happens in the economy. Another source of security from the program
is that one cannot outlive Social Security’s retirement benefits. They can
never be exhausted regardless of how long a retiree lives.
Those who are not actually receiving checks from Social Security
may yet benefit indirectly from the system. The independence that Social
Security confers upon its beneficiaries also frees most of the population who
are still working from having to provide direct support to their elderly or
disabled parents or grandparents.
Despite all this, there has always been a small group of opponents.
Most of these, such as quasi anarchists from the libertarian Cato Institute, are
motivated by ideology. Their opposition reflects philosophical objection to
government programs, and they form the intellectual core of the opposition.
The force behind the opposition, though, comes from economic interests—
multi-billionaires such as the (also ideologically libertarian) Koch brothers,
Charles and David of Koch Industries in Wichita, Kansas, and from
investment banker Peter G. Peterson, who held the position of secretary of
commerce under President Richard Nixon. Charles Koch was a founder of
Cato, and he and David continue to fund the Institute and other related
6
See Skidmore,
Securing America ’
s Future , 186-187.
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DOI: 10.2202/1944-2858.1138
efforts. For example, they provided funds to begin the anti-government “teaparty”
movement in the United States.
7
Peterson for years wrote diatribes
against “entitlements,” including Social Security, and then became more
sophisticated in his attacks. He was instrumental in forming the Concord
Coalition, and subsequently created the
Fiscal Times
and the Peter G. Peterson Foundation; he endowed the latter with one billion dollars to work
against Social Security, and was a major instigator of the recent “town hall”
meetings across the country that attempted to create fears that the deficit, not
unemployment, is America’s greatest current economic danger.
8
Peterson has been especially skillful in working with mainstream
groups to obscure any perception of extremism. The Concord Coalition has
been notably successful in this regard. The intellectual foundation of the
effort to undermine Social Security, however, dates to an article by Stuart
Butler and Peter Germanis that Cato published in 1983, “Achieving a
‘Leninist’ Strategy.”
9
Butler and Germanis openly set forth plans for a longterm
project to destroy public confidence in the system, reassure the elderly
that their interests would be protected in order to dispel their opposition to
“reform,” and establish a coalition with those “who will reap benefits” from
a private system, including “the banks, insurance companies, and other
institutions that will gain from providing such plans to the public.”
10
By
“reassuring” the elderly, Butler and Germanis propose to buy their support,
or at least to ensure that they do not protest when the security of their
children and grandchildren is put at risk. Their strategy of incremental
attacks has been effective, but they were proven too cynical in their hope
that the elderly—who continue fiercely to protect Social Security—would
react with complete selfishness.
The overall result has been decades of well-funded propaganda
suggesting that Social Security is unsustainable. That view came to have
tacit support from official quarters when Ronald Reagan became president.
Reagan had campaigned against Social Security for years prior to entering
politics officially, and then attempted to cut the program severely when he
took office. His efforts brought such political backlash that he promised in
7
For an excellent analysis of the actions of the Koch brothers, see Jane Mayer, “Covert
Operators: The Billionaire Brothers Who are Waging War Against Obama,”
The New Yorker,October 13, 2010.
8
See Max J. Skidmore, “The People, the Economy, and the Issues: A Participant Reports
on National ‘Town Hall’ Meetings on the Deficit,”
Poverty & Public Policy 2 (3) (2010),
Article 2, http://www.psocommons.org/ppp/vol2/iss3/art2.
9
Stuart Butler and Peter Germanis, “Achieving a ‘Leninist’ Strategy,”
Cato Journal 3
(Fall) (1983): 2.
10
548.
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Skidmore: The U. S. System of Social Security: Emphatically Not a Ponzi Scheme
© 2010 Policy Studies Organization
Published by Berkeley Electronic Press
so many words that under his administration there would be no more assaults
on America’s cherished program. He remained true to his word, and even
appointed a commission of Republicans and Democrats to deal with the
system’s cash-flow troubles in 1982. That commission’s recommendations
led to the 1983 revisions to the Social Security Act that were designed to
secure the program’s financing.
Official opposition became overt during the administration of
George W. Bush, especially in his second term. By the time of Bush’s
presidency, his Republican Party had become far more ideological than has
been the norm for American political parties, and had come to devote itself
to privatization and de-regulation whenever possible. Its foremost answer to
all economic questions came to be lowering taxes. Even going to war
brought no tax increases. Astonishingly, as it took the country to war, the
Bush administration actually
taxes—a circumstance that probably
was unique in the history not only of the United States but also of the world.
Thus, it could hardly be surprising that hostility to Social Security had
become imbedded in the official positions of Bush and his party.
For example, the Bush administration not only attempted to divert
Social Security funds into private accounts, but also promulgated a “tactical
plan” to portray the program as unsound. The administration’s actions at the
time led some Social Security employees to complain that the Bush officials
were advancing their political agenda by using money from the trust funds.
11
Part of this effort involved “cleansing” the website of the Social Security
Administration (SSA). The SSA website had always been a model of
objective public information, but Bush’s appointees filled it with
propagandistic warnings that the system was unsustainable unless
considerably revised. The website until Bush’s second term had included an
excellent discussion of the Ponzi scheme allegation. That discussion had
been available as late as December 3, 2005, barely more than a month before
his second term was about to begin. After that, however, it seemed to have
vanished.
Happily, Ponzi information now has returned to SSA’s website.
Immediately upon Bush’s departure, the site began again to deal expertly
with the question.
This time it took the form of an excellent essay by the official
historian of the Social Security Administration, Larry DeWitt. Significantly,
DeWitt’s essay, “Ponzi Schemes vs. Social Security,” which is highly
11
New York Times,
January 16, 2005; see also Skidmore,
185.
12
, 186.
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detailed both in its description of the nature of pyramid schemes (complete
with graphs) and in its explanation of Social Security, is dated January
2009—the month that Barack Obama took office as President of the United
States.
There now should be no more confusion, no allegation that Social
Security is a Ponzi scheme. Undoubtedly, though, considering the huge
economic force backing the attacks against the system, and considering the
compliant role of the media, the attempts to confuse and mislead the public
will continue.
Under the circumstances, only one possible way exists for the public
ever to have even a chance at being well informed. That way will be if those
who recognize that the stakes are high, who understand the situation, and
who are concerned for the future of Social Security work at every
opportunity to counter the propaganda with accurate information.
References
Butler, Stuart, and Peter Germanis. 1983. “Achieving a ‘Leninist’ Strategy.”
Cato Journal
DeWitt, Larry. 2010. “Ponzi Schemes vs. Social Security.” Research Notes
and Special Studies by the Historian’s Office, Social Security
Administration, Research Note #25.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/ponzi.htm (accessed October
12, 2010).
Friedman, Milton. 1999. “Social Security Chimeras.”
New York Times , January, op. ed.
Mayer, Jane. 2010. “Covert Operators: The Billionaire Brothers Who are
Waging War Against Obama.”
The New Yorker , October 13, 2010.
Pear, Robert. 2005. “Social Security Enlisted to Push its Own Revision.”
New York Times
Securities and Exchange Commission. 2010. “Pyramid Schemes.”
http://www.sec.gov/answers/pyramid.htm (accessed October 12, 2010).
Skidmore, Max J. 2008.
Securing America’s Future: A Bold Plan to
Preserve and Expand Social Security
. Lanham, MD: Rowman and
Littlefield (Appendix C: “Social Security and Ponzi Schemes”).
13
Dewitt, “Ponzi Schemes vs. Social Security.”
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Skidmore: The U. S. System of Social Security: Emphatically Not a Ponzi Scheme
© 2010 Policy Studies Organization
Published by Berkeley Electronic Press
Skidmore, Max J. 2010. “The People, the Economy, and the Issues: A
Participant Reports on National ‘Town Hall’ Meetings on the
Deficit.”
Poverty and Public Policy 2 (3), Article 2.
, January 16, 2005. 3 (Fall): 2.
13 See Skidmore, Securing America’s Future Securing America’s Future, Robert Pear, “Social Security Enlisted to Push its Own Revision,” 12 lowered Ibid. , 6 See, e.g., Milton Friedman, “Social Security Chimeras,” New York Times, Ibid., 186. 4 Securing America’s Future , “Social Security is
3 2 http://www.psocommons.org/ppp/vol2/iss4/art8 Poverty & Public Policy: