If the end don't come by 2020
The WTS is full of baloney
By twenty twenty , else it ain't worth a penny
Stay Alive Til 2020
by FrankWTower 27 Replies latest jw friends
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wannabefree
Once growth is around 0%, the hype will be "the end is so close now, the ingathering must be almost completed" then, there will be another spike with excuses of patience ... or if the numbers go into the negatives, we are even closer as Jah is sifting out the bad ones. Will it ever really end? I hope so.
"Stay alive to see Watch Tower dive."
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St George of England
Then when we get negative growth it will be "Bible prophesy is being fulfilled" -
"The love of the greater number will cool off"............
George
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LoisLane looking for Superman
So many funny and app quotes. lol
Thank you!
Just Lois
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caliber
Then when we get negative growth it will be "Bible prophesy is being fulfilled" -
"The love of the greater number will cool off"............
War is a sign , the sifting work is a sign, great ingathering is a sign and of course peace is a sign of the nearness of the end .
example.....
Thanks to Gorbachev's 'glasnost' policy a new period of relaxation between the great powers has developed. A number of protracted wars have ended, the dictatorships in Eastern Europe are falling, and important steps have been taken in the negotiations on peace and disarmament.
According to the Society, such a proclamation will be "the signal for God to move into action", yes, "an unmistakable signal that world destruction is imminent." - Awake!, April 8; 1988, page 14; "True Peace and Security - How Can You Find It?" (1986), page 85. -
Aussie Oz
hate to rain on the parade but...
If this graph had been done in 2005, the straight line of decline would have probably been drawn at 2010 for the zero growth or even negative 'growth',
so IF the next 5 years have some more peakes as have the last 6 years, then that might not happen till 2030, 2035 etc etc...decline yes but i cant see even zero for a lot longer than 2020
Oz
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Jeffro
It's a nice thought for that odious religion to have run its course. But the trouble with trendline analysis of the data is it's too easy to pick a starting point that results in a desired trend.
If you consider the data from 2000 until now, it appears there is an increase in growth. But if you take data since only 2005, there is considerable decline, and the trend since 2009 implies negative growth by 2017.
On the other hand, if data since 1960 is considered, the trendline doesn't indicate negative growth until about 2053.
Proper analysis of this data requires examination of underlying events that affected membership, such as (not an exhaustive list):
- 1975
- 1984 - 70 years after 1914
- 1986 - "international year of peace"
- 1994 - 80 years after 1914
- 1995 onwards - popularity of Internet
- 2002 onwards - September 11 (2001), Iraq and Afghanistan wars
- 2009 onwards - global financial crisis
To quote the Ferengi's 34th and 35th Rules of Acquisition:
34. War is good for business.
35. Peace is good for business.
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respectful_observer
The historic growth numbers have often been propped up by concentrated rates of high growth (e.g. Eastern Bloc countries after the collapse of the Soviet Union).
What we can't predict is how these numbers will be affected by "the preaching work opening up" in countries where it is under ban today. If China were to lift the ban in, let's say 5 years, the growth numbers will jump up (and stay up) for a while. Putting arguements of China being a non-Christian culture aside, there's the potential of another 1 million new J-dubs over in China.