I think he's got a hard core of loyal fans, but he'll loose numbers through people loosing interest & moving on, finding new content etc
His schtick has a limited shelf life. Lately it's devolved into "Tibor this, Tibor that, let's see what Tibor has to say". Even at his peak. Lloyd Evans was essentially a social club with a strict sense of who you could talk to, associate with, complete with a set of rules on how to interact with its leader.
But people were led to believe it was much, much more. Hour+ videos that were filmed at real locations were called documentaries and were branded as such. Lloyd was involved with the TTATT documentary which he was always plugging on his channel and on his social media accounts. He appeared with Leah Remini on that one special. But he's been booted from TTATT for cause and hasn't released a documentary for coming up to two years now. It says right there in the Patreon goals that he is to complete one a year. Now he simply doesn't have the money or desire to travel abroad and film a documentary. There's also the huge workload he'd place on Tibor which would require a lot more money than he's paying him now.
Whilst I don't believe the comedy club routine directly hurt him, it doesn't do him any good either. In fact, it adds to the narrative that has emerged that Lloyd lives a life of leisure and part time work and doesn't necessarily need the money to churn out content. That's what prompted people to donate to him before - the image of Lloyd hard at work late at night going through old WT material to debunk the next JWB episode or convention.
This is the quandary he finds himself in. He has barely enough support to make his generic videos, pay Tibor and live his new lifestyle in Zagreb. To grow his patrons he needs better content which would cost money he doesn't want to spend. He'd rather he just gets all his patrons back and then he'll get some new and improved content out. To read his Patreon goals and compare it what he is really doing is an exercise in false advertising.
he's just (late) news update site.
And not a particularly good one at that. It's all part of the cycle of being an exJW. Sooner more so than later people tire of JW news, even those who still support him. So he needs to account for the 20 or so Patrons that will drop every month and replace them with at least 20, preferably more. It's not happening. His content is simply not worth the support of 404 patrons and it has caught up to him.