Jeff writes:
Would the higher number in August be due to publishers who have been irregular or inactive wanting to get a report filed before the end of a service year (they always start in Sept)? This would boost the numbers for the service year if they hit a peak that month - could the Co's and DO's be pushing that month as a 'month to get inactives going' to the elders, so that the yearly numbers look better? Any elders out there with this insight?
Here is an example of how the tallying works:
Jonestown Congregation has 100 individual publishers.
During the month of June 90 publishers report time. The other 10 have time to report but fail to report it.
During the month of July 90 publishers report time. The other 10 have time to report but fail to report it.
During the month of August the congregation secretary gets his butt in gear and asks the no-shows to report their time for the months of June and July, and to also report their time for August. So here is what happens:
During the month of August all 100 publishers report time, plus the other 10 report their time for June and July. WTS directions have the secretary count this as 120 publishers reporting time! The legitimate reason for this manner of tallying is that it is the only way to maintain a meaningful average of WTS publishers. However, the WTS uses this peak figure illegitimately when it gives the impression that the figure of 120 represents the number of individuals reporting! The figure of 120 only represents--and here is the key--the number of individual reports, but not the number of individuals reporting.
The peak figures reported by the WTS are all but meaningless for statistical purposes, or for trying to figure out the total number of publishers! It is common for a congregation's August report to the WTS to have a number of publishers that is 10% higher than the number of real-life publishers in that congregation! The WTS knows this perfectly well.
Marvin Shilmer