The reasons they are going to schism (not die or disappear) is simple. If you think of it in terms of MONEY or MEMBERS, you simply miss the point.
Christian Science has been around for over 100 years and they still seem to have a good amount of money, but who even knows about them? It is only supported by old people with money to support such stupidity. They need a place to put their butts, feel comfortable in their fantasy, and call it "my religion right or wrong." Does that make them powerful? Do your children have to worry about becoming a Christian Scientist??
NO. IT'S NOT "IN", so it cannot attract youthful members, so when the old people die off, so does the money and ignorant theologies. It would have to become a different religion altogether, with virtually no resemblance to the former. The Watch Tower simply has NOTHING TO OFFER the primal being except “FRIENDS” that will rat on you in a New York minute.
There is no welfare system, with the Watch Tower OR Jehovah; and salvation is completely dependent on your loyalty to their demands.
They currently have no realistic program to make money now that the digital age has arrived and magazines are a waste. The programs they have could be audited by the IRS and they could get in big trouble, should the IRS choose to investigate their religion (or ALL religions) carefully.
There are no charismatic leaders, nor does there appear to be a charismatic leader on the way. They tolerate no youthful, inspiring leaders; younger people drift off rapidly and never come back. The Watch Tower, after 130 years of lies, deception and mind control is truly embarrassing in the 21st century. Going door-to-door peddling children’s-level literature is truly an embarrassment to most. For decades, the Watch Tower has gotten very few converts from going door-to-door; it’s all friends, co-workers and their own children, who go out the back door as fast as they get old enough to leave home.
They are carefully inoculating the masses in every Watchtower about any false message coming from some of the new ones claiming to be of the “anointed.” Even the “overlapping generation” explanation of why the date 1914 failed is being rejected by many Witnesses now. Many are actually quite angry at this new deceptive explanation.
Their messages are an insult to almost everyone's intelligence and ability to think for themselves. The hypnotic repetition of reading paragraphs and underlining the “correct” answers in the magazines and books is a modern-day farce.
The current Governing Body is VERY concerned about the power of the Internet and especially Facebook, which most people will continue to use regardless of what the Watchtower says. It is like telling people they can’t use telephones!
College will continue to be disdained which makes them an obvious laughing stock.
Randy