I can’t dumb it down any more than I already have.
Posts by Jeffro
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
I’m just trying to work out why you think this is a reason to discount JW growth compared with other groups.
🤦♂️ Do you need everything explained to you?
If I have 5 apples and I eat four, then I buy 2 apples, I have 3 apples.
If Jane has 5 apples and eats only 1 apple, then buys 2 apples, she has 6 apples.
Jane has a higher apple retention rate regardless of separate factors related to growth.
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16
Jesus Christ Will Arrive Within The Next Four Minutes! (parody)
by Nathan Natas inyes, you read that correctly!.
jesus h. christ will arrive within the next four minutes!
in fact, by the time you read this, he may have alreadt arrrived!.
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Jeffro
joey jojo:
I just know what you say is true because you have used the internet to confirm that you arent a crackpot.
Yeah, it’s always best to “do your own research” by checking obscure YouTube channels and Reddit threads for this type of stuff. Don’t concern yourself with pesky ‘facts’ from reliable sources—they’re probably put there by demonses anyway.
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
It sounds like you’re saying that because there is a reason for JW growth therefore the growth doesn’t count.
🤦♂️ Sure, whatever gets you through the night. 🙄 That paragraph was fairly obviously about retention rather than growth, but you can spin it however you like.
JWs do also have a very high churn rate compared to other denominations, with a non-trivial proportion of short-term members briefly affiliated and leaving but this is a separate category of members to those impacted by the previously mentioned retention issues.
More specifically, perhaps you’re saying that JW growth is morally tarnished because it’s accomplished by a practice you don’t approve.
Oh goody, a straw man. Who cares about what people actually say if you can just make up their opinion for them. 🤷♂️
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
Clearly the birth/ POMI / fence sitters rate is superseding the apathy that exists with in, as demonstrated by the census. What other conclusion can you come to.
It’s more complex than that. POMIs (etc) could be offset by families with multiple children who are counted as JWs in the census. This could also include spouses and adult children in the household who are counted as JWs by the ‘head of the house’ completing the census form.
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16
Jesus Christ Will Arrive Within The Next Four Minutes! (parody)
by Nathan Natas inyes, you read that correctly!.
jesus h. christ will arrive within the next four minutes!
in fact, by the time you read this, he may have alreadt arrrived!.
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Jeffro
Where do I sign up?
(And for all the naysayers, clearly he really means 4 minutes starting from 4 minutes before the end.)
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
JeffT:
It looks like they are no longer publishing the stat I like most: total hours in service.
They can’t. It isn’t being reported by most members anymore.
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
sbf:
It’s an odd thing on this forum. Since I first joined in 2000 posters have continually insisted, year in year out, that JWs are in decline, yet between 2000 and now JWs increased from less than 6 million to over 9 million.
It is true that some have incorrectly said the denomination is in actual decline. But what you seem to be misrepresenting, here and on other occasions, is that others including myself have correctly stated that their growth rate has declined. And this remains the case in real terms despite their twiddling of the metrics.
Additionally, we all know that direct comparisons with other churches are invalid where there is no (or trivial) social impediment to leaving the church. This includes denominations that nominally ‘excommunicate’/‘disfellowship’ supposedly errant members but use the terms in a manner that does not actually involve shunning but just excludes them from attending religious services.
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
Journeyman:
Interesting to see growth in almost every developed nation - Mostly just 1-2%, but some at 3%. I was surprised to see Ireland as high as 4%.
The statistics are distorted because they changed the metrics for counting membership in November 2023. ‘Just tick a box if you did any preaching at all during the month.’ Because the criteria were changed, it is not a reliable indication of actual growth, and even with this distortion, growth averaged over the last few years remains poor.
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88
Annual Report
by St George of England inthe latest report is now available for download on our favourite website!.
george.
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Jeffro
joe134cd:
In any case you have anecdotally confirmed that WT is accurate with its counting methods.
It seems that the collation of the reports is accurate at a higher level, but the information reported by individual members is likely more prone to error. This was even more the case when members had to report preaching hours and were incentivised to inflate the figures.
Wt under reports it membership, by not including kids.
This is intentional (and it isn’t simply ‘underestimating’ at all). There is a trade-off in that it suggests lower membership than is actually the case by other metrics but the upside (from their perspective) is that it 1) inflates the supposed rate of growth and 2) misrepresents the amount of interest of non-members by comparison with ‘Bible studies’ and Memorial attendance.