Dr. Fauci's - lead physician, indicated it's predicted to be lower than what they originally estimated. CNN took his comments out of context, of course, but it's COVID 19 for a reason - number 19 indicates it's not the first coronvirus.
China has been buying up Italy like crazy - many Chi-cons taking the virus there thus the spread of the virus. State of Washington same thing. I'm not undermining it - seasonal flu is bad enough.