I meant to write it’s not for the SNP to decide if or when there should be a referendum. It’s for the Scottish people to decide. Not the SNP, Westminster, or anyone else, but the people.
I can certainly understand and appreciate the argument that says, we already had a referendum in 2014 and let’s move on. That’s a perfectly reasonable position to take, there’s no denying that. A significant number of people in Scotland do feel that way. But here is the thing: the Tories stood on that basis in Scotland and they lost. Not just slightly, but they lost more than half their seats. If the Tories or Labour had won in Scotland then we would not be having this conversation. The Lib Dems are even bigger opponents of an independence referendum and their leader lost her seat to SNP, which is virtually unprecedented. The election result was clear.
People are entitled to their opinion that the 2014 referendum was sufficient, but the people have voted for it. If this is a demoncracy then the referendum needs to happen. The SNP argued that the situation has changed and we deserve a say on our future in the new circumstances. The SNP won the election with a landslide on that basis. If democracy means anything then that means Scotland will have a referendum on its future.
I predict the march on January 11th could be the biggest in Scottish history, the weather notwithstanding.
The SNP were elected in 2016 on a manifesto to have a new referendum if Scotland is taken out of the EU against its will. The UK leaves the EU next month. The current Scottish Parliament runs out in 2021, so the referendum will take place before then, probably toward the end of 2020. (Appropriately 700 years since the Declaration of Arbroath)
You are correct the UK continues when Scotland becomes independent. We call this rUK already in Scotland. When it’s already in the language, that in itself is a good indication it’s going to happen.