Jeffro,
ringo5 asked a specific question of fact. I answered his question factually. The probability that humans (as a species) can conceive without sexual intercourse is 100% probability; therefore the probability of the possibility is likewise 100%.
The probability of it occurring in any specific incident at any specific time period would obviously be adjusted to a more specific set of constraints, while the probability of the possibility would remain at a constant 100% regardless of specific constraints.
If, in 60 years, the scenario you described is not required for artificial insemination would you then require that the scenario available 60 years from now be probable for that specific instance you mentioned? What about the methods available 200 years from now? You are insisting that the method we use currently be available over 2,000 years ago in order to credit these accounts as possible.
The effects are possible (i.e. conception without intercourse) at any point in human history irrespective of the methods used. Surely you agree, don't you?
You are interchanging two different statistical ideas: probability and possibility. I am keeping them distinct. Revelation of the possibility of human conception without intercourse is always attributed to divine sources in every culture that possesses these traditional accounts of women who are impregnated without having had sex. Many of these accounts are sourced from 2,000 years ago and more.
I am not, and have not, argued that any specific instance actually occurred, nor that these accounts of conception without intercourse are even probably true. You have put those arguments in my ... fingertips, I suppose.
I have argued that the possibility was revealed exclusively by extra-human sources (according to all accounts); these accounts were deemed facetious by the finest scientific minds as lately as the turn of the 20th century simply because they did not know how it could be accomplished. Now you deem them facetious simply because you do not know how they could have been accomplished back then. You no longer have the arguments of three generations ago at your disposal because we now know a few ways in which the feat could be accomplished. We have theorized many other ways, all of which are feasible given certain technological advances.
This recently accepted possibility of conception without intercourse has always been possible, and communication of the possibility was consistently attributed to extra-human origins.
Respectfully,
AuldSoul