blacksheep,
a little aggressive aren't we?
Y ou don't appear to have a good grasp on what "job growth means."
believe me i know what job growth means. after all its not such a hard concept to grasp.
so thank god the NYtimes (what would i do without it!?) we can bring a little light in this!
U.S. Job Growth Surges; 308,000 Positions Created in March
By EDUARDO PORTER
Published: April 2, 2004
mployment growth surged ahead in March, surpassing economists' most optimistic expectations and providing the Bush administration with a shot of good news to counter Democratic attacks against the president's economic policies.
The Labor Department said today that the economy added 308,000 jobs last month, pulling ahead of the pattern of tepid employment growth it had recorded since the end of last year to clock the fastest rate of job creation since April 2000.
The Labor Department also revised its estimate of jobs added in January and February to 205,000, almost double its previous estimate of 118,000. The revisions pushed average job growth in the first quarter to 171,000 per month, the most vigorous rate since the second quarter of 2000, shortly after the Internet bubble burst.
President Bush was quick to take credit for the increase, long awaited by the White House.
"This economy is strong," he said in an appearance at Marshall Community and Technical College in Huntington, W.Va. "It is getting stronger."
Democrats, however, characterized the change as inadequate and long overdue.
The unemployment rate ?- measured through a different household survey rather than company payrolls ? inched up to 5.7 percent from 5.6 percent in February. The survey recorded a slight decline of 3,000 jobs driven by a decline of 304,000 in the self-employed, who are not captured in the payroll statistics. This indicates a shift out of involuntary self-employment as the labor market expanded.
Economists, who were perplexed by an economy that for months had shown strength in virtually every indicator except employment, were elated by the upbeat job numbers.
"It realigns the employment conditions with all the other economic data,", said Mickey Levy, chief economist at Banc of America Securities. "Every other piece of economic data has implied solid economic growth."
The vigorous increase in jobs was also good news for the administration. `This confirms what we've been saying. The economy is on track,` said N. Gregory Mankiw, chairman of President Bush's Council of Economic Advisors.
Mr. Mankiw said that rather than increase taxes, as Senator John Kerry, the presumptive Democratic nominee, has proposed to do for those who earn more than $200,000 a year, the tax cuts enacted by President Bush should be made permanent to keep the economy on track. He also argued against retreating into '`isolationism," a direct reference to Senator Kerry's attack against what he calls "Benedict Arnold" corporations that outsource production overseas.
"The key is not to reverse course," said Mr. Mankiw.
But Democrats were quick to point out that one month of hearty job creation does not constitute a trend, and the current administration's job record is still in the red.
"After three years of punishing job losses, the one-month job creation announced today is welcome news for America's workers. I hope it continues," Senator Kerry said in a statement released by his campaign. Yet he added that "with nearly 2.6 million private sector jobs lost during the Bush presidency, America's families need and deserve a new economic strategy."
"One good apple doesn't save the whole bunch," said Gene Sperling, a former economic aide during the Clinton administration who is advising Senator Kerry on economic issues. "Two facts that are not going to change are that when George W. Bush accepts the nomination of the Republican Party he will have the worst fiscal record in history and he will still be the only president since Herbert Hoover to preside over a net job loss."
Indeed, despite the upward revisions in the first quarter, on average the economy has only added 115,000 jobs per month since October, when Treasury Secretary John Snow forecast average employment growth of 200,000 jobs in the subsequent 12 months.
Employment was helped along by a couple of one-time events. The end of a supermarket strike in California contributed to 47,000 more retail sales jobs. Better weather after the February chill pushed construction employment up by 71,000 in March following a decline in the previous month.
But the economy added jobs across the service sector. Employment in health care and social assistance rose by 36,000. A rise in mortgage refinancing helped add 11,000 financial-sector jobs in what the Labor Department calls credit intermediation activities.
Of the broad economic categories, only manufacturing experienced no job growth. Yet following 43 consecutive months of manufacturing job losses, the zero jobs "added" in March represented an improvement of sorts.
"There is only a silver lining. There are very few gray clouds," said Mr. Levy.